Diana Shnaider vs Leylah FernandezAdelaide Round of 32

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 32
#15WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Shnaider D.
7-5 6-3
Fernandez L.
Shnaider D.
762
Fernandez L.
530

Diana Shnaider defeated Leylah Fernandez 7-5 6-3 in the Adelaide round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Diana Shnaider came in ranked #15, defending last year's quarter-final. Diana Shnaider extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30CharlestonR16clayDiana Shnaider6-3 6-0
2024-10-28Hong KongSFhardDiana Shnaider6-4 6-2
2024-10-07WuhanR64hardLeylah Fernandez6-7(7) 6-3 6-3
2024-08-12CincinnatiR16hardLeylah Fernandez6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shnaider D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shnaider D.Fernandez L.
41
Serve
60
37
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
87
Break points saved·Even
94
95
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Even
91
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
91
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+48 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1785
5.1Overall Elo 1891
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1805
3.9
H2H
6.1
5.4
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
9.4
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
98

Shnaider D.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 32%