Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie BouzkovaWimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
#43WTA
1775ELO
1699Grass ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 4 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 12 · 1st on
#27WTA
1871ELO
1751Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$7.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWWW
Samsonova L.
6-4 6-7 4-6
Bouzkova M.
Samsonova L.
6641
Bouzkova M.
4762

Marie Bouzkova defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 victory. The match saw Bouzkova hit 2 aces and 4 double faults, while Samsonova had 6 aces and 7 double faults. Both players converted 3 service breaks, with Bouzkova taking 33% of her break points and Samsonova taking 14%.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR32hardLiudmila Samsonova1-6 6-4 6-1
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardLiudmila Samsonova3-6 7-6 6-3
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R16hardMarie Bouzkova0-6 7-5 6-3
2019-05-24Roland GarrosQ32clayLiudmila Samsonova6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
54
46
Break points saved·Dominant
73
47
Break points won·Even
92
95
Deciding sets·Even
37
39
Tiebreaks·Even
35
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Samsonova L.36%
Bouzkova M.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bouzkova M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1693
Surface ELO
5.7+58 Grass Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1764
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1871
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.16 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.78 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.6Won 61% in United Kingdom (28)
Context
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
65
72

Samsonova L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d) · Bouzkova M.: played today · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw