Jessica Pegula vs Sara Sorribes Tormo — Wimbledon Round of 64
Pegula J.
Jessica Pegula faces Sara Sorribes Tormo in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Jessica Pegula holds the paper edge — ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Pegula J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jessica Pegula has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 96 vs 35).
- Last match: Sara Sorribes Tormo dropped just 5 games past Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva.
- Fatigue load: Jessica Pegula carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPegula J.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-28 | Madrid | QF | clay | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 6-2 |