Tamara Korpatsch vs Coco GauffWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#79WTA
1686ELO
1464Grass ELO
31 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLWWL
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
#7WTA
2091ELO
1851Grass ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWWL
Korpatsch T.
vs
Gauff C.

Tamara Korpatsch faces Coco Gauff in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Coco Gauff holds the paper edge — ranked #7, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 390-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Korpatsch T.5%
Gauff C.95%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gauff C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.2Grass Elo 1464
Surface ELO
9.8+387 Grass Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1686
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 2091
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
1.32 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.05 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.9Won 65% in GBR (23)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

29 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
38%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
7.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Korpatsch T.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Gauff C.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Korpatsch T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
99
Break points saved·Dominant
14
96
Break points won·Slight edge
92
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
73
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
71
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
95

Korpatsch T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final