Coco Gauff vs Elina SvitolinaRome Final

Rome · WTA · Final
#4WTA
2071ELO
2018Clay ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 16 May 2026 ·
clay
#10WTA
2070ELO
1995Clay ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Gauff C.
4-6 7-6 2-6
Svitolina E.
Gauff C.
47721
Svitolina E.
66362

Elina Svitolina defeated Coco Gauff 6-4 6-7 6-2 in the Rome final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #4, defending last year's final, but Elina Svitolina had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Elina Svitolina extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Elina Svitolina closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-15DubaiSFhardElina Svitolina6-4 6-7(13) 6-4
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardElina Svitolina6-1 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardCoco Gauff3-6 6-3 6-3
2024-01-01AucklandFhardCoco Gauff6-7(4) 6-3 6-3
2021-02-08Australian OpenR64hardElina Svitolina6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Gauff C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
99
89
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+24 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1995
5.7Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 2070
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
7.8
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
3-set count
4.0
6.7
Country comfort
6.4
Context
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
98

Gauff C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Gauff C.
Svitolina E.
4-67-632-6