Dayana Yastremska vs Aoi Ito — Wimbledon Round of 128
Yastremska D.
Dayana Yastremska faces Aoi Ito in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Dayana Yastremska holds the paper edge — ranked #66, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 260-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Yastremska D. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Dayana Yastremska comes in with 9 days of rest and 70 games in 14d, vs Aoi Ito's 6 and 41.
- Surface form: Dayana Yastremska 2 of 4, Aoi Ito 0 of 4 on grass recently — Dayana Yastremska the sharper of late.
- Stage: Dayana Yastremska defends last year's round of 32; Aoi Ito defends last year's round of 128.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadYastremska D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ito A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.