Diane Parry vs Aoi Ito — Bad Homburg Qualifying Semi-final

Bad Homburg · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
Diane Parry
FRA
Diane Parry
#60WTA
1720ELO
1658Grass ELO
23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWLW
—
Sets
Saturday, 20 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 2 · 1st on
JPN
Aoi Ito
#223WTA
1570ELO
1442Grass ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
LLLWLWLWLL
Parry D.
vs
Ito A.

Diane Parry faces Aoi Ito in the Bad Homburg qualifying semi-final on grass. Diane Parry holds the paper edge — ranked #60, a roughly 220-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Parry D.84%
Ito A.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Parry D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Diane Parry comes in with 1 days of rest and 76 games in 14d, vs Aoi Ito's 4 and 45.
  • Surface form: Diane Parry 3 of 4, Aoi Ito 1 of 4 on grass recently — Diane Parry the sharper of late.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Parry D.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Ito A.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+216 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Grass Elo 1442
7.2Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1570
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.78 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.72 of last 7 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Parry D.Surging
Ito A.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
Parry D.Ito A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
69%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
69%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Parry D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ito A.

Ito A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Parry D.

Serve advantage — Parry D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Parry D.Ito A.
Freshness·Clear edge
69
86

Parry D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 76 games (7d) · Ito A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on COURT 2 · not before Starting at 11:00 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Parry D. v Ito A.This match
  2. 2Blinkova A. v Putintseva Y.
  3. 3Trevisan M. v Townsend T.
  4. 4Zhang S. v Ruse E.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.