Alexandra Eala vs Renata Zarazua — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
Alexandra Eala
PHI29
Alexandra Eala
#20WTA
1895ELO
1795Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 12 · 3rd on
Renata Zarazua
MEX
Renata Zarazua
#73WTA
1663ELO
1536Grass ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Eala A.
6-1 6-2
Zarazua R.
Eala A.
662
Zarazua R.
120

Alexandra Eala defeated Renata Zarazua in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-1, 6-2. Eala converted 19% of her break points and won 80% of her first-serve points, while neither player hit an ace or double fault. Eala broke Zarazua's serve three times en route to the victory.

Around the match

  • “Oh my gosh, sorry, this is just so crazy to hear her name.”

    Eala A.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-15W100 Cary 1QFhardRenata Zarazua3-6 6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
Eala A.Zarazua R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
74%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.1
0.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Eala A.Zarazua R.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
14
Break points saved·Even
12
9
Break points won·Even
83
79
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
24
Tiebreaks·
—
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Eala A.87%
Zarazua R.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Eala A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Eala A.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Zarazua R.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+265 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Grass Elo 1557
7.9Overall Elo 1911
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1677
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.27 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Eala A.Zarazua R.
Freshness·Clear edge
68
91

Eala A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Zarazua R.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw