Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala — Guangzhou Round of 32

Guangzhou · WTA · Round of 32
Claire Liu
USA
Claire Liu
#146WTA
1669ELO
1635Hard ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
Alexandra Eala
PHI4
Alexandra Eala
#32WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$871kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Liu C.
2-6 6-4 6-4
Eala A.
Liu C.
2662
Eala A.
6441

Claire Liu defeated Alexandra Eala 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexandra Eala came in ranked #32, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Liu C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Eala A.

Eala A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Liu C.Eala A.
—
Serve
20
—
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Liu C.Eala A.
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Liu C.Eala A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
64
75
Break points won·Clear edge
78
97
Deciding sets·Even
79
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
67
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Liu C.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Eala A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1635
Surface ELO
7.5+198 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1895
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Liu C.Eala A.
Freshness·Even
83
81

Liu C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Eala A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Li A.[2]
Sun L.
7-666-2
Semi-finals
Li A.[2]
Zhang S.
5-2
Sun L.
Liu C.
6-07-63
Quarter-finals
Sun L.
Mcnally C.
3-66-36-4
Zhang S.
Volynets K.
7-655-77-5
Liu C.
Seidel E.
4-66-06-4
Li A.[2]
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-4
R16
Volynets K.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
6-36-3
Zhang S.
Erjavec V.
3-66-36-2
Mcnally C.
Tomljanovic A.
6-44-66-3
Sun L.
Wang Y.
6-36-1
Liu C.
Bondar A.
6-36-4
Seidel E.
Putintseva Y.[6]
6-36-2
Cocciaretto E.
Wang X.
6-32-66-3
Li A.[2]
Osorio C.
7-56-2
R32
Sun L.
Bouzas Maneiro J.[1]
7-637-62
Wang Y.
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Bondar A.
Guo H.
6-33-67-64
Volynets K.
Kawa K.
4-66-26-2
Zhang S.
Zakharova A.
6-46-1
Erjavec V.
Maria T.[3]
6-46-776-2
Li A.[2]
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-47-64
Seidel E.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-2
Cocciaretto E.
Parry D.
6-46-776-2
Liu C.
Eala A.[4]
2-66-46-4
Osorio C.
Bronzetti L.
6-16-2
Mcnally C.
Juvan K.
6-31-66-3
Tomljanovic A.
Parks A.[5]
7-57-5
Putintseva Y.[6]
Korneeva A.
7-624-66-4
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Kudermetova P.[8]
1-66-16-2
Wang X.
Jones F.[7]
6-46-4