Alexandra Eala vs Elena RybakinaRome Round of 32

Rome · WTA · Round of 32
#28WTA
1895ELO
1677Clay ELO
$871kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 10 May 2026 ·
clay
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Eala A.
4-6 3-6
Rybakina E.
Eala A.
430
Rybakina E.
662

Elena Rybakina defeated Alexandra Eala 6-4 6-3 in the Rome round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's round of 32. Elena Rybakina claimed a first win over Alexandra Eala in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-18BerlinR16grassAlexandra Eala7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Eala A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Eala A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Eala A.Rybakina E.
Serve
100
Return
9

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.9
6.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
92
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
98
Break points won·Even
97
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1677
Surface ELO
10.0+325 Clay Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1895
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
93

Eala A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Rybakina E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final