Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy — Wimbledon Round of 128
Alexandrova E.
Ekaterina Alexandrova faces Panna Udvardy in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Ekaterina Alexandrova is the paper favourite — ranked #19, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 150-point grass Elo advantage — but Panna Udvardy has won their only previous meeting.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Alexandrova E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Ekaterina Alexandrova 89 games in 14 days, Panna Udvardy 62.
- Under pressure: Ekaterina Alexandrova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 66 vs Panna Udvardy's 39).
- Head-to-head: Panna Udvardy leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at s Hertogenbosch 2026.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAlexandrova E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d) · Udvardy P.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | s Hertogenbosch | R32 | grass | Panna Udvardy | 4-6 6.5-7.7 |