Jelena Ostapenko vs Panna UdvardyEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16
#29WTA
1855ELO
1770Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#74WTA
1681ELO
1562Grass ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWL
Ostapenko J.
3-6 6-1 6-2
Udvardy P.
Ostapenko J.
3662
Udvardy P.
6121

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Panna Udvardy 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at Eastbourne. Ostapenko won 6 service breaks to Udvardy's 3. The win advanced Ostapenko to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
69
6
Break points saved·Clear edge
24
4
Break points won·Dominant
100
63
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
12
Tiebreaks·
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Ostapenko J.77%
Udvardy P.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ostapenko J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.1+170 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Grass Elo 1480
6.7Overall Elo 1727
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1592
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.3Won 71% in United Kingdom (28)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
80

Ostapenko J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 10 games (7d) · Udvardy P.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw