Jelena Ostapenko vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — Doha Round of 32

Doha · WTA · Round of 32
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT
Jelena Ostapenko
#29WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026
hard
Ekaterina Alexandrova
RUS8
Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Ostapenko J.
6-4 6-2
Alexandrova E.
Ostapenko J.
662
Alexandrova E.
420

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4 6-2 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, defending last year's semi-final. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 6–4.

Key context

Head to head

5–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14StuttgartSFclayJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-4
2024-01-29LinzFhardJelena Ostapenko6-2 6-3
2024-01-08AdelaideSFhardJelena Ostapenko6-2 7-6(3)
2023-09-11San DiegoR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-6(3) 6-7(6) 7-5
2022-09-19SeoulFhardEkaterina Alexandrova7-6(4) 6-0
2022-04-28MadridR64clayEkaterina Alexandrova6-2 4-6 6-4
2019-10-07LinzSFhardJelena Ostapenko1-6 7-6(5) 7-5
2019-06-24EastbourneR16grassEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 2-1 RET
2018-09-17SeoulR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Alexandrova E.
10
Serve
52
45
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Ostapenko J.Alexandrova E.
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
48%
51%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ostapenko J.Alexandrova E.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
94
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ostapenko J.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Alexandrova E.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1794
Surface ELO
5.3+5 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1844
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.1
Surface form
5.6
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
5.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.1
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ostapenko J.Alexandrova E.
Freshness·Even
96
94

Ostapenko J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Alexandrova E.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw

Final
Muchova K.[14]
Mboko V.[10]
6-47-5
Semi-finals
Mboko V.[10]
Ostapenko J.
6-36-2
Muchova K.[14]
Sakkari M.
3-66-46-1
Quarter-finals
Sakkari M.
Swiatek I.[1]
2-66-47-5
Ostapenko J.
Cocciaretto E.
7-56-4
Mboko V.[10]
Rybakina E.[2]
7-54-66-4
Muchova K.[14]
Kalinskaya A.
6-36-4
R16
Muchova K.[14]
Pliskova K.
5-2
Sakkari M.
Gracheva V.
7-636-0
Kalinskaya A.
Svitolina E.[7]
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Zheng Q.
4-66-27-5
Ostapenko J.
Osorio C.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Kasatkina D.
5-76-16-1
Cocciaretto E.
Li A.
7-655-76-4
Mboko V.[10]
Andreeva M.[5]
6-33-67-65
R32
Swiatek I.[1]
Tjen J.
6-06-3
Pliskova K.
Anisimova A.[3]
5-77-634-1
Osorio C.
Siniakova K.
6-25-76-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Wang X.
6-26-4
Li A.
Frech M.
6-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Gauff C.[4]
6-46-2
Mboko V.[10]
Zvonareva V.
6-46-4
Kalinskaya A.
Navarro E.[12]
7-52-66-2
Gracheva V.
Noskova L.[9]
6-22-67-5
Kasatkina D.
Mertens E.[16]
6-46-0
Ostapenko J.
Alexandrova E.[8]
6-46-2
Andreeva M.[5]
Linette M.
7-606-1
Muchova K.[14]
Valentova T.
6-16-4
Sakkari M.
Paolini J.[6]
6-46-2
Svitolina E.[7]
Yastremska D.
6-16-4
Zheng Q.
Parks A.
7-643-66-2
R64
Osorio C.
Raducanu E.
2-66-42-0
Siniakova K.
Tauson C.[11]
6-46-1
Tjen J.
Haddad Maia B.
6-06-1
Ostapenko J.
Zakharova A.
6-766-36-4
Pliskova K.
Sierra S.
6-16-2
Linette M.
Kartal S.
6-43-66-3
Yastremska D.
Bucsa C.
6-44-67-65
Mboko V.[10]
Bouzkova M.
7-56-2
Navarro E.[12]
Maria T.
7-56-1
Sakkari M.
Sonmez Z.
6-16-3
Parks A.
Shnaider D.[15]
1-66-47-65
Noskova L.[9]
Joint M.
6-46-0
Zheng Q.
Kenin S.
4-66-16-2
Mertens E.[16]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-1
Li A.
Fernandez L.
6-46-3
Zvonareva V.
Stearns P.
2-66-26-3
Frech M.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-34-67-67
Kasatkina D.
Uchijima M.
4-66-36-0
Valentova T.
Eala A.
7-666-1
Cocciaretto E.
Jacquemot E.
7-646-2
Wang X.
Arango E.
6-17-5
Kalinskaya A.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-26-1
Muchova K.[14]
Cristian J.
6-26-3
Gracheva V.
Siegemund L.
7-636-4