Jelena Ostapenko vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaStuttgart Semi-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Semi-final
#31WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#19WTA
1844ELO
1737Clay ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Ostapenko J.
6-4 6-4
Alexandrova E.
Ostapenko J.
662
Alexandrova E.
440

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4 6-4 in the Stuttgart semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in leading the head-to-head 5–4, defending last year's round of 32. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 6–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Jelena Ostapenko edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

54
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR32hardJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-2
2024-01-29LinzFhardJelena Ostapenko6-2 6-3
2024-01-08AdelaideSFhardJelena Ostapenko6-2 7-6(3)
2023-09-11San DiegoR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-6(3) 6-7(6) 7-5
2022-09-19SeoulFhardEkaterina Alexandrova7-6(4) 6-0
2022-04-28MadridR64clayEkaterina Alexandrova6-2 4-6 6-4
2019-10-07LinzSFhardJelena Ostapenko1-6 7-6(5) 7-5
2019-06-24EastbourneR16grassEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 2-1 RET
2018-09-17SeoulR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
94
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+72 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1737
4.6Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1844
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.4
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
6.4
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
88

Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 70%