Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jelena OstapenkoMadrid Round of 64

Madrid · WTA · Round of 64
#19WTA
1844ELO
1737Clay ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 28 April 2022
clay
#31WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Alexandrova E.
6-2 4-6 6-4
Ostapenko J.
Alexandrova E.
6462
Ostapenko J.
2641

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the Madrid round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in leading the head-to-head 6–3, defending last year's round of 32. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 6–4.

Key context

Head to head

36
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR32hardJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-2
2025-04-14StuttgartSFclayJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-4
2024-01-29LinzFhardJelena Ostapenko6-2 6-3
2024-01-08AdelaideSFhardJelena Ostapenko6-2 7-6(3)
2023-09-11San DiegoR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-6(3) 6-7(6) 7-5
2022-09-19SeoulFhardEkaterina Alexandrova7-6(4) 6-0
2019-10-07LinzSFhardJelena Ostapenko1-6 7-6(5) 7-5
2019-06-24EastbourneR16grassEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 2-1 RET
2018-09-17SeoulR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Even
5.2
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
79
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 38 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1737
Surface ELO
5.2+72 Clay Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
91

Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw