Jelena Ostapenko vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaAdelaide Semi-final

Adelaide · WTA · Semi-final
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Ostapenko J.
6-2 7-6
Alexandrova E.
Ostapenko J.
6772
Alexandrova E.
2630

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-2 7-6 in the Adelaide semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 6–4.

Key context

Head to head

54
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR32hardJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-2
2025-04-14StuttgartSFclayJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-4
2024-01-29LinzFhardJelena Ostapenko6-2 6-3
2023-09-11San DiegoR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-6(3) 6-7(6) 7-5
2022-09-19SeoulFhardEkaterina Alexandrova7-6(4) 6-0
2022-04-28MadridR64clayEkaterina Alexandrova6-2 4-6 6-4
2019-10-07LinzSFhardJelena Ostapenko1-6 7-6(5) 7-5
2019-06-24EastbourneR16grassEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 2-1 RET
2018-09-17SeoulR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Serve advantage — Alexandrova E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Alexandrova E.
10
Serve
52
45
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.7
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (104 vs 137). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
94
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1794
Surface ELO
5.3+5 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1844
5.4
H2H
4.6
6.0
Surface form
3.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
9.2
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
88

Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%