Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapova — Wimbledon Round of 128
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro faces Anastasia Potapova in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Anastasia Potapova holds the paper edge — ranked #28, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Potapova A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 82 games in 14 days, Anastasia Potapova 7.
- Under pressure: Anastasia Potapova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 82 vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro's 52).
- Head-to-head: Anastasia Potapova leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Indian Wells 2025.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBouzas Maneiro J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 49 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells | R128 | hard | Anastasia Potapova | 6-7(5) 6-4 7-5 |