Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia PotapovaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#90WTA
1721ELO
1625Grass ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 17 · 4th on
#25WTA
1904ELO
1687Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWLW
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-2 6-3
Potapova A.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
662
Potapova A.
230

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro defeated Anastasia Potapova in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-2, 6-3. Bouzas Maneiro converted 50% of her break points and secured five service breaks, while Potapova converted 20% of her break points and secured one service break. Bouzas Maneiro committed one double fault and Potapova committed six.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR128hardAnastasia Potapova6-7 6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
64
Break points saved·Dominant
4
49
Break points won·Even
93
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
24
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
15
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Bouzas Maneiro J.19%
Potapova A.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Potapova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1632
Surface ELO
5.7+54 Grass Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1721
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1904
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.56 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.83 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
92

Bouzas Maneiro J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw