Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia PotapovaAustralian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 32
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.2MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 23 January 2026 ·
hard
#25WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$6.7MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLLL
Sabalenka A.
7-6 7-6
Potapova A.
Sabalenka A.
77792
Potapova A.
64670

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Anastasia Potapova 7-6 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka7-6 7-6
2025-05-09RomeR64clayAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-2
2025-05-06RomeR64clayAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-2
2023-04-17StuttgartSFclayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
60
Break points saved·Dominant
93
43
Break points won·Slight edge
99
93
Deciding sets·Even
97
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
76

Sabalenka A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw