Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia PotapovaStuttgart Semi-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 April 2023
clay
#28WTA
1904ELO
1882Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-1 6-2
Potapova A.
Sabalenka A.
662
Potapova A.
120

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-1 6-2 in the Stuttgart semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka7-6(4) 7-6(7)
2025-05-06RomeR64clayAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
89
Break points won·Clear edge
100
88
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
8.7+222 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Clay Elo 1882
9.8Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.2Overall Elo 1904
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
8.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
99

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
11°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 78%