Anna Blinkova vs Marta Kostyuk — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Anna Blinkova
RUS
Anna Blinkova
#114WTA
1697ELO
1611Grass ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLWWL
—
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Marta Kostyuk
UKR
Marta Kostyuk
#13WTA
2057ELO
1737Grass ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWWW
Blinkova A.
vs
Kostyuk M.

Anna Blinkova faces Marta Kostyuk in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Marta Kostyuk holds the paper edge — ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Blinkova A.9%
Kostyuk M.91%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kostyuk M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Blinkova A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Kostyuk M.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Grass Elo 1611
Surface ELO
6.6+127 Grass Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1697
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 2057
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.16 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.33 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Blinkova A.Rising
Kostyuk M.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
Blinkova A.Kostyuk M.
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
57%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.9
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Blinkova A.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Serve advantage — Kostyuk M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Blinkova A.Kostyuk M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
93
Break points saved·Dominant
58
93
Break points won·Even
94
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Blinkova A.Kostyuk M.
Freshness·
91
—

Blinkova A.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-18MiamiR32hardMarta Kostyuk6-2 6-1
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostovic T.
6-26-3
Oliynykova O.
Kessler M.
0-60-6
Ostapenko J.
Dart H.
6-33-66-4
Ruzic A.
Semenistaja D.
6-33-66-3
Fernandez L.[22]
Tjen J.
1-66-73
Xu M.
Kasatkina D.
2-66-32-6
Gasanova A.
Arango E.
6-36-1
Jacquemot E.
Osaka N.[14]
1-65-7
Muchova K.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Zhang S.
6-736-76
Parks A.
Dudeney A.
6-36-3
Sawangkaew M.
Chwalinska M.[20]
2-67-56-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.
6-46-4
Stearns P.
Bartunkova N.
4-66-35-7
Krejcikova B.
Klugman H.
6-16-4
Linette M.
Andreeva M.[5]
5-74-6
Pegula J.[4]
Vidmanova D.
7-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-26-3
Yastremska D.
Ito A.
7-614-67-5
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Potapova A.[27]
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
7-635-76-4
Putintseva Y.
Maria T.
4-64-6
J. Cristian
Jovic I.[16]
6-710-6
Bencic B.[11]
Stojsavljevic M.
6-26-1
Wang X.
Cocciaretto E.
6-32-66-2
Jones F.
Parry D.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-754-6
Li A.[28]
Sonmez Z.
5-76-14-6
Liu C.
Vandewinkel H.
4-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bondar A.
6-35-77-5
Korpatsch T.
Gauff C.[7]
2-61-6
Svitolina E.
Snigur D.
5-72-6
Erjavec V.
Jeanjean L.
4-66-46-76
Tomljanovic A.
Bolkvadze M.
2-66-24-6
Krueger A.
Vekic D.
3-67-636-4
Navarro E.
Badosa P.
4-66-37-5
Selekhmeteva O.
Kraus S.
6-17-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Blinkova A.
7-634-61-6
N. Podoroska
Kostyuk M.
1-62-6
Paolini J.
Montgomery R.
0-66-47-5
Shymanovich I.
Golubic V.
2-66-21-6
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-44-65-7
Sakkari M.
Tauson C.
6-36-3
Eala A.
Zarazua R.
6-16-2
S. Williams
Joint M.
3-67-663-6
Valentova T.
Pliskova K.
3-64-6
Townsend T.
Swiatek I.
1-66-23-6
Anisimova A.
Gjorcheska L.
6-36-2
Marcinko P.
Kenin S.
6-744-6
Begu I.
Swan K.
4-64-6
Day K.
Keys M.
7-654-63-6
Cirstea S.
Bejlek S.
6-17-66
Birrell K.
Korneeva A.
6-30-66-2
Osorio C.
Waltert S.
6-26-1
Seidel E.
Noskova L.
4-63-6
Shnaider D.
Lys E.
7-56-1
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.
3-63-6
Boulter K.
Grant T.
4-62-6
Gibson T.
Bouzkova M.
1-66-32-6
Mertens E.
Siegemund L.
6-26-4
Haddad Maia B.
Timofeeva M.
3-62-6
Ruse E.
Mcnally C.
5-73-6
Boisson L.
Rybakina E.
4-66-13-6
Sabalenka A.
Kessler M.
Ostapenko J.
Ruzic A.
Tjen J.
Kasatkina D.
Gasanova A.
Osaka N.[14]
Muchova K.
Zhang S.
Parks A.
Sawangkaew M.
Siniakova K.
Bartunkova N.
Krejcikova B.
Andreeva M.
Pegula J.
Sorribes Tormo S.
Yastremska D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Alexandrova E.
Tararudee L.
Maria T.
Jovic I.
Bencic B.
Wang X.
Parry D.
Kalinskaya A.
Sonmez Z.
Liu C.
Sierra S.
Gauff C.
Snigur D.
Jeanjean L.
Bolkvadze M.
Krueger A.
Navarro E.
Selekhmeteva O.
Blinkova A.
Kostyuk M.
Paolini J.
Golubic V.
Rakhimova K.
Sakkari M.
Eala A.
Joint M.
Pliskova K.
Swiatek I.
Anisimova A.
Kenin S.
Swan K.
Keys M.
Cirstea S.
Birrell K.
Osorio C.
Noskova L.
Shnaider D.
Samsonova L.
Grant T.
Bouzkova M.
Mertens E.
Timofeeva M.
Mcnally C.
Rybakina E.
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