Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda AnisimovaBrisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 16
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#6WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Kostyuk M.
6-4 6-3
Anisimova A.
Kostyuk M.
662
Anisimova A.
430

Marta Kostyuk defeated Amanda Anisimova 6-4 6-3 in the Brisbane round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Amanda Anisimova came in ranked #6. Marta Kostyuk extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Marta Kostyuk closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaQFhardAmanda Anisimova4-6 7-5 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR128hardMarta Kostyuk6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Anisimova A.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kostyuk M.Anisimova A.
53
Serve
51
57
Return
72

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
50%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
44%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
96
Break points saved·Even
93
95
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 90 days (−1.2)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.5+88 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.5Hard Elo 1880
4.9Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1914
6.1
H2H
3.9
6.0
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
84

Kostyuk M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d) · Anisimova A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw