Amanda Anisimova vs Marta KostyukDoha Quarter-final

Doha · WTA · Quarter-final
#6WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 9 February 2025
hard
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Anisimova A.
4-6 7-5 6-4
Kostyuk M.
Anisimova A.
4762
Kostyuk M.
6541

Amanda Anisimova defeated Marta Kostyuk 4-6 7-5 6-4 in the Doha quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Amanda Anisimova claimed a first win over Marta Kostyuk in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR16hardMarta Kostyuk6-4 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenR128hardMarta Kostyuk6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Anisimova A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Anisimova A.Kostyuk M.
51
Serve
53
72
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
92
Break points saved·Even
95
93
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Even
95
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.5Hard Elo 1880
Surface ELO
4.5+88 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1914
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 2057
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
69

Anisimova A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw