Jessica Pegula vs Marta KostyukBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · WTA · Round of 16
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Pegula J.
6-3 6-7 6-1
Kostyuk M.
Pegula J.
66462
Kostyuk M.
37711

Jessica Pegula defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-7 6-1 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Jessica Pegula came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–3 6–7 6–1.

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR32clayMarta Kostyuk6-1 6-4
2026-01-04BrisbaneSFhardMarta Kostyuk6-0 6-3
2025-03-18MiamiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2024-02-26San DiegoSFhardMarta Kostyuk7-6(4) 6-1
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-2
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardJessica Pegula6-7(5) 6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Kostyuk M.
68
Serve
53
73
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
92
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+91 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1968
5.9Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 2057
6.7
H2H
3.3
4.1
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
69

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw