Jessica Pegula vs Marta KostyukCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022
hard
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Pegula J.
6-7 6-1 6-2
Kostyuk M.
Pegula J.
65662
Kostyuk M.
77121

Jessica Pegula defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-7 6-1 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR32clayMarta Kostyuk6-1 6-4
2026-01-04BrisbaneSFhardMarta Kostyuk6-0 6-3
2025-09-24BeijingR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-7(4) 6-1
2025-03-18MiamiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2024-02-26San DiegoSFhardMarta Kostyuk7-6(4) 6-1
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Kostyuk M.
68
Serve
53
73
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
92
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.3+91 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1968
5.9Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 2057
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
4.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.8
Country comfort
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
65

Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Kostyuk M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw