Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula — Madrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
Marta Kostyuk
UKR26
Marta Kostyuk
#13WTA
2057ELO
1992Clay ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026
clay
Jessica Pegula
USA5
Jessica Pegula
#4WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Kostyuk M.
6-1 6-4
Pegula J.
Kostyuk M.
662
Pegula J.
140

Marta Kostyuk defeated Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-4 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 32, but Marta Kostyuk had arrived on a 7-match winning run. Marta Kostyuk narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneSFhardMarta Kostyuk6-0 6-3
2025-09-24BeijingR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-7(4) 6-1
2025-03-18MiamiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2024-02-26San DiegoSFhardMarta Kostyuk7-6(4) 6-1
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-2
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardJessica Pegula6-7(5) 6-1 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Serve advantage — Kostyuk M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kostyuk M.Pegula J.
61
Serve
67
100
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kostyuk M.Pegula J.
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kostyuk M.Pegula J.
Clutch Rating·Even
93
96
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kostyuk M.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Pegula J.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.2+51 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1941
4.1Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 2097
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
8.7
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kostyuk M.Pegula J.
Freshness·Slight edge
60
68

Kostyuk M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw

Final
Kostyuk M.[26]
Andreeva M.[9]
6-37-5
Semi-finals
Andreeva M.[9]
Baptiste H.[30]
6-47-68
Kostyuk M.[26]
Potapova A.
6-21-66-1
Quarter-finals
Kostyuk M.[26]
Noskova L.[13]
7-616-0
Potapova A.
Pliskova K.
6-16-746-3
Baptiste H.[30]
Sabalenka A.[1]
2-66-27-66
Andreeva M.[9]
Fernandez L.[24]
7-616-3
R16
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osaka N.[14]
6-716-36-2
Noskova L.[13]
Gauff C.[3]
6-41-67-65
Andreeva M.[9]
Bondar A.
6-756-37-65
Kostyuk M.[26]
Mcnally C.
6-26-3
Baptiste H.[30]
Bencic B.[11]
6-16-7146-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Li A.[31]
6-36-2
Pliskova K.
Sierra S.
6-46-3
Potapova A.
Rybakina E.[2]
7-686-4
R32
Noskova L.[13]
Samsonova L.[20]
W/O
Li A.[31]
Swiatek I.[4]
7-642-63-0
Pliskova K.
Mertens E.[19]
7-52-67-63
Andreeva M.[9]
Galfi D.
6-36-2
Bondar A.
Samson L.
7-636-1
Mcnally C.
Siniakova K.
6-32-67-62
Sierra S.
Sonmez Z.
0-66-26-3
Kostyuk M.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-16-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Zheng Q.[32]
4-66-46-3
Bencic B.[11]
Shnaider D.[18]
6-27-66
Gauff C.[3]
Cirstea S.[25]
4-67-56-1
Baptiste H.[30]
Paolini J.[8]
7-56-3
Potapova A.
Ostapenko J.[21]
4-66-46-4
Fernandez L.[24]
Jovic I.[15]
3-66-36-2
Osaka N.[14]
Kalinina A.
6-16-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cristian J.[29]
6-16-4
R64
Fernandez L.[24]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[8]
Siegemund L.
3-66-26-4
Pliskova K.
Sakkari M.[33]
6-47-66
Osaka N.[14]
Osorio C.
6-27-5
Cirstea S.[25]
Grant T.
6-27-65
Baptiste H.[30]
Quevedo K.
6-16-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Tjen J.
6-26-1
Kostyuk M.[26]
Putintseva Y.
6-16-3
Sierra S.
Frech M.[34]
6-26-4
Bencic B.[11]
Marcinko P.
6-46-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Ruse E.
4-66-37-5
Kalinina A.
Bouzkova M.[23]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[5]
Boulter K.
6-46-4
Galfi D.
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[32]
Kenin S.
1-66-36-3
Gauff C.[3]
Jeanjean L.
6-36-0
Sonmez Z.
Bucsa C.[27]
6-16-746-2
Noskova L.[13]
Arango E.
6-36-2
Jovic I.[15]
Linette M.
6-46-1
Mcnally C.
Mboko V.[10]
6-46-1
Shnaider D.[18]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-56-1
Samson L.
Wang X.[28]
2-66-36-0
Ostapenko J.[21]
Waltert S.
6-27-5
Potapova A.
Zhang S.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[4]
Snigur D.
6-16-2
Li A.[31]
Parks A.
6-26-756-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stearns P.
7-56-3
Mertens E.[19]
Eala A.
6-26-1
Cristian J.[29]
Starodubtseva Y.
3-67-656-4
Andreeva M.[9]
Udvardy P.
7-56-2
Bondar A.
Svitolina E.[7]
6-36-4
Siniakova K.
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
R128
Sierra S.
Yastremska D.
7-6107-68
Sonmez Z.
Martinez Cirez C.
7-56-2
Pliskova K.
Kraus S.
2-66-16-4
Zhang S.
Lys E.
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Valentova T.
6-44-66-3
Stearns P.
Boisson L.
6-16-3
Siniakova K.
Kalieva E.
6-36-4
Bondar A.
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Eala A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-3
Siegemund L.
Begu I.
6-46-0
Marcinko P.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-07-5
Grabher J.
Badosa P.
7-634-66-0
Ruse E.
Ruzic A.
6-34-66-0
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-25-76-2
Jeanjean L.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-1
Kenin S.
Krueger A.
7-626-4
Samson L.
Maria T.
6-46-2
Boulter K.
Townsend T.
6-46-2
Galfi D.
Tomljanovic A.
7-676-4
Arango E.
Gibson T.
6-36-2
Linette M.
Montgomery R.
6-46-3
Quevedo K.
Williams V.
6-26-4
Osorio C.
Zakharova A.
6-06-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Uchijima M.
6-31-66-3
Snigur D.
Kasatkina D.
6-33-67-613
Waltert S.
Oliynykova O.
7-56-0
Udvardy P.
Birrell K.
6-41-66-1
Parks A.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Volynets K.
6-16-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-1
Tjen J.
Charaeva A.
6-46-2
Grant T.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-2