Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica PegulaSan Diego Semi-final

San Diego · WTA · Semi-final
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 February 2024
hard
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Kostyuk M.
7-6 6-1
Pegula J.
Kostyuk M.
7762
Pegula J.
6410

Marta Kostyuk defeated Jessica Pegula 7-6 6-1 in the San Diego semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Marta Kostyuk narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Marta Kostyuk came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR32clayMarta Kostyuk6-1 6-4
2026-01-04BrisbaneSFhardMarta Kostyuk6-0 6-3
2025-09-24BeijingR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-7(4) 6-1
2025-03-18MiamiR16hardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-2
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardJessica Pegula6-7(5) 6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kostyuk M.Pegula J.
53
Serve
68
57
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
96
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1968
Surface ELO
6.3+91 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 2097
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.7
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
76

Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast