Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Kamilla Rakhimova
UZB
Kamilla Rakhimova
#83WTA
1693ELO
1591Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 15 · 3rd on
Maria Sakkari
GRE
Maria Sakkari
#32WTA
1812ELO
1631Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$15MCAREER
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Rakhimova K.
3-6 6-0 6-7
Sakkari M.
Rakhimova K.
3661
Sakkari M.
6072

Maria Sakkari defeated Kamilla Rakhimova in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-3, 0-6, 7-6 victory. Sakkari hit 10 aces to Rakhimova's 1 and converted 40% of her break points, while Rakhimova converted 33%. Sakkari won 4 service breaks to Rakhimova's 5.

Key context

  • Match story: Maria Sakkari closed it out in three sets, 6–3 0–6 7–6.

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-15CincinnatiR64hardMaria Sakkari2-6 7-5 1-6
2025-08-07CincinnatiR128hardMaria Sakkari6-3 3-6 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR64clayMaria Sakkari7-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
Rakhimova K.Sakkari M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rakhimova K.Sakkari M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
80
Break points saved·Dominant
7
78
Break points won·Clear edge
77
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Rakhimova K.36%
Sakkari M.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sakkari M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rakhimova K.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Sakkari M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1620
Surface ELO
5.1+10 Grass Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1707
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1812
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.2Won 54% in United Kingdom (37)
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rakhimova K.Sakkari M.
Freshness·Slight edge
73
79

Rakhimova K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw