Karolina Muchova vs Maria SakkariDoha Semi-final

Doha · WTA · Semi-final
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026
hard
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Muchova K.
3-6 6-4 6-1
Sakkari M.
Muchova K.
3662
Sakkari M.
6411

Karolina Muchova defeated Maria Sakkari 3-6 6-4 6-1 in the Doha semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-14CincinnatiR16hardKarolina Muchova6-3 2-6 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR128clayKarolina Muchova7-6(5) 7-5
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayKarolina Muchova7-6(5) 7-6(4)
2021-04-29MadridR16clayKarolina Muchova6-0 6-7(9) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Serve advantage — Muchova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Sakkari M.
70
Serve
24
44
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.1
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
81
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Slight edge
94
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+238 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1796
8.2Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1812
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.4
Surface form
5.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
90

Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw

Semi-finals
Mboko V.[10]
Ostapenko J.
6-36-2
Muchova K.[14]
Sakkari M.
3-66-46-1