Karolina Muchova vs Maria SakkariCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Muchova K.
6-3 2-6 6-3
Sakkari M.
Muchova K.
6262
Sakkari M.
3631

Karolina Muchova defeated Maria Sakkari 6-3 2-6 6-3 in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaSFhardKarolina Muchova3-6 6-4 6-1
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR128clayKarolina Muchova7-6(5) 7-5
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayKarolina Muchova7-6(5) 7-6(4)
2021-04-29MadridR16clayKarolina Muchova6-0 6-7(9) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Serve advantage — Muchova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Sakkari M.
70
Serve
24
44
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (143 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
81
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Slight edge
94
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+238 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1796
8.2Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1812
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
5.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Country comfort
5.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
60
89

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw