Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana MariaLondon Round of 32

London · WTA · Round of 32
#37WTA
1829ELO
1663Grass ELO
$669kYTD
$14MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
grass
ANDY MURRAY ARENA · 3rd on
#52WTA
1617ELO
1620Grass ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWLLW

Around the match

  • It means a lot to me, because I'm 37 years old and I won this trophy today. I'm a good example that even in my age you still can win big trophies.

    Maria T.WTA Tennis
  • It's such a special moment for all of us, like a family together. It's not like only me that I won this trophy today. It's like my whole family won this trophy.

    Maria T.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Tatjana Maria dropped just six games in a straight-sets win over Maria Sakkari in the London round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 5: Tatjana Maria broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Maria Sakkari converted 2 of 8 break points; Tatjana Maria converted 5 of 7 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC
Sakkari M.74%
Maria T.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sakkari M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+42 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1620
6.5Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1617
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.95 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.0Won 50% in GBR (24)
Country comfort
4.9Won 48% in GBR (25)
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sakkari M.
330
Maria T.
662

Conditions

Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 38%

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardMaria Sakkari6-3 6-2
2022-08-29US OpenR128hardMaria Sakkari6-4 3-6 6-0
2022-06-27WimbledonR32grassTatjana Maria6-3 7-5
2022-01-17Australian OpenR128hardMaria Sakkari6-4 7-6(2)

Statistics

Recent form
65%1st serve in+8%57%
62%1st serve points won+3%65%
47%2nd serve points won+1%46%
56%Service points won+1%57%
44%Return points won+4%40%
62%Break points saved+5%57%
2.5Aces / match+1.74.2
1.9Double faults / match+0.52.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.