Maria Sakkari vs Emma RaducanuUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · WTA · Round Robin
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#33WTA
1834ELO
1773Hard ELO
$605kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLWL
Sakkari M.
6-3 3-6 6-1
Raducanu E.
Sakkari M.
6362
Raducanu E.
3611

Maria Sakkari defeated Emma Raducanu 6-3 3-6 6-1 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emma Raducanu came in ranked #33, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Maria Sakkari claimed a first win over Emma Raducanu in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Maria Sakkari closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonQFhardEmma Raducanu6-4 7-5
2025-02-17DubaiR64hardEmma Raducanu6-4 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassEmma Raducanu6-2 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenSFhardEmma Raducanu6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Raducanu E.

Raducanu E.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Raducanu E.
24
Serve
32
39
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
64
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Clear edge
87
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
76
29
Tiebreaks·Even
83
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 84 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.5+23 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1773
5.1Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1834
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
4.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Sakkari M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast