Coco Gauff vs Maria SakkariUnited Cup Quarter-final

United Cup · WTA · Quarter-final
#7WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Gauff C.
6-3 6-2
Sakkari M.
Gauff C.
662
Sakkari M.
320

Coco Gauff defeated Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-2 in the United Cup quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #7. Coco Gauff extended the head-to-head to 6–5.

Key context

Head to head

55
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-18MiamiR32hardCoco Gauff6-2 6-4
2025-03-05Indian WellsR32hardCoco Gauff7-6(1) 6-2
2024-03-06Indian WellsSFhardMaria Sakkari6-4 6-7(5) 6-2
2023-10-02BeijingQFhardCoco Gauff6-2 6-4
2023-07-31WashingtonFhardCoco Gauff6-2 6-3
2022-05-09RomeR16clayMaria Sakkari6-4 7-5
2022-02-21DohaQFhardMaria Sakkari6-3 6-3
2021-05-10RomeR32clayCoco Gauff6-1 1-6 6-1
2021-01-06Abu DhabiR32hardMaria Sakkari7-5 6-2
2020-08-24CincinnatiR64hardMaria Sakkari6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Gauff C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gauff C.Sakkari M.
25
Serve
24
100
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.2
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
99
81
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 65 days (−1.2)
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
7.9+239 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1796
8.1Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1812
8.1
H2H
1.9
6.7
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
54
89

Gauff C.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast