Amanda Anisimova vs Sofia Kenin — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Amanda Anisimova
USA
Amanda Anisimova
#6WTA
1914ELO
1768Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLWWL
—
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Sofia Kenin
USA
Sofia Kenin
#105WTA
1703ELO
1583Grass ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLLLLW
Anisimova A.
vs
Kenin S.

Amanda Anisimova faces Sofia Kenin in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Amanda Anisimova is the paper favourite — ranked #6, defending last year's final, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage — but Sofia Kenin has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.

Around the match

  • “The second I got to Wimbledon this year, I was flooded with great memories. I felt like I did all of the things I wanted to do.”

    Anisimova A.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Anisimova A.87%
Kenin S.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Anisimova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Anisimova A.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kenin S.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+185 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Grass Elo 1583
8.5Overall Elo 1914
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1703
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on grass
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Anisimova A.Stable
Kenin S.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

12 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
Anisimova A.Kenin S.
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
45%
50%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Anisimova A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Serve advantage — Anisimova A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Anisimova A.Kenin S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
69
Break points saved·Even
95
92
Break points won·Clear edge
99
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
59
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Anisimova A.Kenin S.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
83

Anisimova A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Kenin S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31CharlestonSFclaySofia Kenin5-2 RET
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostovic T.
6-26-3
Oliynykova O.
Kessler M.
0-60-6
Ostapenko J.
Dart H.
6-33-66-4
Ruzic A.
Semenistaja D.
6-33-66-3
Fernandez L.[22]
Tjen J.
1-66-73
Xu M.
Kasatkina D.
2-66-32-6
Gasanova A.
Arango E.
6-36-1
Jacquemot E.
Osaka N.[14]
1-65-7
Muchova K.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Zhang S.
6-736-76
Parks A.
Dudeney A.
6-36-3
Sawangkaew M.
Chwalinska M.[20]
2-67-56-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.
6-46-4
Stearns P.
Bartunkova N.
4-66-35-7
Krejcikova B.
Klugman H.
6-16-4
Linette M.
Andreeva M.[5]
5-74-6
Pegula J.[4]
Vidmanova D.
7-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-26-3
Yastremska D.
Ito A.
7-614-67-5
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Potapova A.[27]
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
7-635-76-4
Putintseva Y.
Maria T.
4-64-6
J. Cristian
Jovic I.[16]
6-710-6
Bencic B.[11]
Stojsavljevic M.
6-26-1
Wang X.
Cocciaretto E.
6-32-66-2
Jones F.
Parry D.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-754-6
Li A.[28]
Sonmez Z.
5-76-14-6
Liu C.
Vandewinkel H.
4-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bondar A.
6-35-77-5
Korpatsch T.
Gauff C.[7]
2-61-6
Svitolina E.[8]
Snigur D.
5-72-6
Erjavec V.
Jeanjean L.
4-66-46-76
Tomljanovic A.
Bolkvadze M.
2-66-24-6
Krueger A.
Vekic D.[31]
3-67-636-4
Navarro E.[23]
Badosa P.
4-66-37-5
Selekhmeteva O.
Kraus S.
6-17-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Blinkova A.
7-634-61-6
N. Podoroska
Kostyuk M.[12]
1-62-6
Paolini J.[13]
Montgomery R.
0-66-47-5
Shymanovich I.
Golubic V.
2-66-21-6
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-44-65-7
Sakkari M.
Tauson C.[24]
6-36-3
Eala A.[29]
Zarazua R.
6-16-2
S. Williams
Joint M.
3-67-663-6
Valentova T.
Pliskova K.
3-64-6
Townsend T.
Swiatek I.[3]
1-66-23-6
Anisimova A.[6]
Gjorcheska L.
6-36-2
Marcinko P.
Kenin S.
6-744-6
Begu I.
Swan K.
4-64-6
Day K.
Keys M.[26]
7-654-63-6
Cirstea S.[17]
Bejlek S.
6-17-66
Birrell K.
Korneeva A.
6-30-66-2
Osorio C.
Waltert S.
6-26-1
Seidel E.
Noskova L.[9]
4-63-6
Shnaider D.[15]
Lys E.
7-56-1
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.
3-63-6
Boulter K.
Grant T.
4-62-6
Gibson T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
1-66-32-6
Mertens E.[25]
Siegemund L.
6-26-4
Haddad Maia B.
Timofeeva M.
3-62-6
Ruse E.
Mcnally C.
5-73-6
Boisson L.
Rybakina E.[2]
4-66-13-6
Sabalenka A.
Kessler M.
6-17-69
Ostapenko J.
Ruzic A.
6-26-0
Tjen J.
Kasatkina D.
7-651-64-6
Gasanova A.
Osaka N.
3-62-6
Muchova K.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Parks A.
Sawangkaew M.
5-70-6
Siniakova K.
Bartunkova N.
2-64-6
Krejcikova B.
Andreeva M.
4-67-56-4
Pegula J.
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-666-1
Yastremska D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-612-6
Alexandrova E.
Tararudee L.
7-57-5
Maria T.
Jovic I.
1-62-6
Bencic B.
Wang X.
7-56-0
Parry D.
Kalinskaya A.
4-66-36-78
Sonmez Z.
Liu C.
5-73-6
Sierra S.
Gauff C.
3-66-36-77
Snigur D.
Jeanjean L.
Bolkvadze M.
Krueger A.
Navarro E.[23]
Selekhmeteva O.
Blinkova A.
Kostyuk M.
Paolini J.
Golubic V.
Rakhimova K.
Sakkari M.
Eala A.
Joint M.
Pliskova K.
Swiatek I.
Anisimova A.
Kenin S.
Swan K.
Keys M.
Cirstea S.
Birrell K.
Osorio C.
Noskova L.
Shnaider D.[15]
Samsonova L.
Grant T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
Mertens E.
Timofeeva M.
Mcnally C.
Rybakina E.
Sabalenka A.
Ostapenko J.
Kasatkina D.
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
Sawangkaew M.
Bartunkova N.
Krejcikova B.
Pegula J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Alexandrova E.
Jovic I.
Bencic B.
Kalinskaya A.
Liu C.
Gauff C.
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