Karolina Pliskova vs Iga Swiatek — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Karolina Pliskova
CZE
Karolina Pliskova
#73WTA
1880ELO
1764Grass ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLWWLW
—
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Iga Swiatek
POL3
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2080ELO
1936Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWLWWW
Pliskova K.
vs
Swiatek I.

Karolina Pliskova faces Iga Swiatek in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Iga Swiatek holds the paper edge — ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending the title.

Around the match

  • “To play a Czech in the first round, it's somehow not nice, especially at a Slam. We are everywhere, there's a big chance to play them because there are many of us.”

    Pliskova K.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:22 UTC
Pliskova K.13%
Swiatek I.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Swiatek I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pliskova K.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Swiatek I.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Grass Elo 1764
Surface ELO
7.2+172 Grass Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1880
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 2080
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.56 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.69 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Won 67% in GBR (58)
Country comfort
6.6Won 77% in GBR (26)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Pliskova K.Stable
Swiatek I.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

12 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season
Pliskova K.Swiatek I.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.8
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Pliskova K.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Pliskova K.Swiatek I.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
100
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Clear edge
87
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
73
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Pliskova K.Swiatek I.
Freshness·Slight edge
82
74

Pliskova K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-07MontrealR32hardIga Swiatek7-6(6) 6-2
2023-04-17StuttgartQFclayIga Swiatek4-6 6-1 6-2
2021-05-10RomeFclayIga Swiatek6-0 6-0
View full head-to-head →
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostovic T.
6-26-3
Oliynykova O.
Kessler M.
0-60-6
Ostapenko J.
Dart H.
6-33-66-4
Ruzic A.
Semenistaja D.
6-33-66-3
Fernandez L.[22]
Tjen J.
1-66-73
Xu M.
Kasatkina D.
2-66-32-6
Gasanova A.
Arango E.
6-36-1
Jacquemot E.
Osaka N.[14]
1-65-7
Muchova K.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Zhang S.
6-736-76
Parks A.
Dudeney A.
6-36-3
Sawangkaew M.
Chwalinska M.[20]
2-67-56-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.
6-46-4
Stearns P.
Bartunkova N.
4-66-35-7
Krejcikova B.
Klugman H.
6-16-4
Linette M.
Andreeva M.[5]
5-74-6
Pegula J.[4]
Vidmanova D.
7-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-26-3
Yastremska D.
Ito A.
7-614-67-5
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Potapova A.[27]
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
7-635-76-4
Putintseva Y.
Maria T.
4-64-6
J. Cristian
Jovic I.[16]
6-710-6
Bencic B.[11]
Stojsavljevic M.
6-26-1
Wang X.
Cocciaretto E.
6-32-66-2
Jones F.
Parry D.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-754-6
Li A.[28]
Sonmez Z.
5-76-14-6
Liu C.
Vandewinkel H.
4-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bondar A.
6-35-77-5
Korpatsch T.
Gauff C.[7]
2-61-6
Svitolina E.[8]
Snigur D.
5-72-6
Erjavec V.
Jeanjean L.
4-66-46-76
Tomljanovic A.
Bolkvadze M.
2-66-24-6
Krueger A.
Vekic D.[31]
3-67-636-4
Navarro E.[23]
Badosa P.
4-66-37-5
Selekhmeteva O.
Kraus S.
6-17-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Blinkova A.
7-634-61-6
N. Podoroska
Kostyuk M.[12]
1-62-6
Paolini J.[13]
Montgomery R.
0-66-47-5
Shymanovich I.
Golubic V.
2-66-21-6
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-44-65-7
Sakkari M.
Tauson C.[24]
6-36-3
Eala A.[29]
Zarazua R.
6-16-2
S. Williams
Joint M.
3-67-663-6
Valentova T.
Pliskova K.
3-64-6
Townsend T.
Swiatek I.[3]
1-66-23-6
Anisimova A.[6]
Gjorcheska L.
6-36-2
Marcinko P.
Kenin S.
6-744-6
Begu I.
Swan K.
4-64-6
Day K.
Keys M.[26]
7-654-63-6
Cirstea S.[17]
Bejlek S.
6-17-66
Birrell K.
Korneeva A.
6-30-66-2
Osorio C.
Waltert S.
6-26-1
Seidel E.
Noskova L.[9]
4-63-6
Shnaider D.[15]
Lys E.
7-56-1
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.
3-63-6
Boulter K.
Grant T.
4-62-6
Gibson T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
1-66-32-6
Mertens E.[25]
Siegemund L.
6-26-4
Haddad Maia B.
Timofeeva M.
3-62-6
Ruse E.
Mcnally C.
5-73-6
Boisson L.
Rybakina E.[2]
4-66-13-6
Sabalenka A.
Kessler M.
6-17-69
Ostapenko J.
Ruzic A.
6-26-0
Tjen J.
Kasatkina D.
7-651-64-6
Gasanova A.
Osaka N.
3-62-6
Muchova K.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Parks A.
Sawangkaew M.
5-70-6
Siniakova K.
Bartunkova N.
Krejcikova B.
Andreeva M.
Pegula J.
Sorribes Tormo S.
Yastremska D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-612-6
Alexandrova E.
Tararudee L.
Maria T.
Jovic I.
Bencic B.
Wang X.
Parry D.
Kalinskaya A.
4-6 1-0
Sonmez Z.
Liu C.
5-73-6
Sierra S.
Gauff C.
3-4
Snigur D.
Jeanjean L.
Bolkvadze M.
Krueger A.
Navarro E.[23]
Selekhmeteva O.
Blinkova A.
Kostyuk M.[12]
Paolini J.[13]
Golubic V.
Rakhimova K.
Sakkari M.
Eala A.[29]
Joint M.
Pliskova K.
Swiatek I.[3]
Anisimova A.[6]
Kenin S.
Swan K.
Keys M.[26]
Cirstea S.[17]
Birrell K.
Osorio C.
Noskova L.[9]
Shnaider D.[15]
Samsonova L.
Grant T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
Mertens E.[25]
Timofeeva M.
Mcnally C.
Rybakina E.[2]
Sabalenka A.
Ostapenko J.
Kasatkina D.
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
Sawangkaew M.
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Bouzas Maneiro J.
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Liu C.
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