Madison Keys vs Karolina Pliskova — Australian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 32
Madison Keys
USA9
Madison Keys
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
Karolina Pliskova
CZE
Karolina Pliskova
#64WTA
1869ELO
1811Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Keys M.
6-3 6-3
Pliskova K.
Keys M.
662
Pliskova K.
330

Madison Keys defeated Karolina Pliskova 6-3 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, defending the title. Madison Keys claimed a first win over Karolina Pliskova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-01-06BrisbaneFhardKarolina Pliskova6-4 4-6 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Pliskova K.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Pliskova K.
36
Serve
—
29
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Keys M.Pliskova K.
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Keys M.Pliskova K.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
87
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Even
90
87
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Keys M.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Pliskova K.
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 112 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+109 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1811
6.4Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
3.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
6.6
Country comfort
6.6
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Keys M.Pliskova K.
Freshness·Clear edge
84
96

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Pliskova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[5]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Svitolina E.[12]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[5]
Pegula J.[6]
6-37-67
Quarter-finals
Svitolina E.[12]
Gauff C.[3]
6-16-2
Pegula J.[6]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-27-61
Rybakina E.[5]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-56-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Jovic I.[29]
6-36-0
R16
Gauff C.[3]
Muchova K.[19]
6-13-66-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Wang X.
7-646-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Inglis M.
6-06-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mboko V.[17]
6-17-61
Svitolina E.[12]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-26-4
Pegula J.[6]
Keys M.[9]
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Mertens E.[21]
6-16-3
Jovic I.[29]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-1
R32
Gauff C.[3]
Baptiste H.
3-66-06-3
Inglis M.
Osaka N.[16]
W/O
Sabalenka A.[1]
Potapova A.
7-647-67
Rybakina E.[5]
Valentova T.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Noskova L.[13]
7-56-4
Putintseva Y.
Sonmez Z.
6-36-736-3
Andreeva M.[8]
Ruse E.
6-36-4
Muchova K.[19]
Linette M.
6-16-1
Jovic I.[29]
Paolini J.[7]
6-27-63
Mboko V.[17]
Tauson C.[14]
7-655-76-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Stearns P.
6-16-4
Pegula J.[6]
Selekhmeteva O.
6-36-2
Mertens E.[21]
Bartunkova N.
6-06-4
Keys M.[9]
Pliskova K.
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Kalinskaya A.[31]
6-11-66-1
Svitolina E.[12]
Shnaider D.[23]
7-646-3
R64
Muchova K.[19]
Parks A.
4-66-46-4
Mboko V.[17]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[31]
Grabher J.
6-36-3
Linette M.
Li A.
6-36-3
Bartunkova N.
Bencic B.[10]
6-30-66-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Sakkari M.
6-06-4
Stearns P.
Marcinko P.
6-27-5
Tauson C.[14]
Kudermetova P.
6-33-67-5
Jovic I.[29]
Hon P.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[3]
Danilovic O.
6-26-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Bouzkova M.
6-26-3
Osaka N.[16]
Cirstea S.
6-34-66-2
Ruse E.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-4
Noskova L.[13]
Preston T.
6-24-66-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bai Z.
6-36-1
Pegula J.[6]
Kessler M.
6-06-2
Shnaider D.[23]
Gibson T.
3-67-56-3
Valentova T.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-52-66-3
Sonmez Z.
Bondar A.
6-26-4
Svitolina E.[12]
Klimovicova L.
7-56-1
Inglis M.
Siegemund L.
6-46-737-67
Mertens E.[21]
Uchijima M.
6-36-1
Anisimova A.[4]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Potapova A.
Raducanu E.[28]
7-636-2
Keys M.[9]
Krueger A.
6-17-5
Paolini J.[7]
Frech M.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Ostapenko J.[24]
4-66-46-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Gracheva V.
7-56-2
Pliskova K.
Tjen J.
6-46-4
Baptiste H.
Hunter S.
6-26-1
Putintseva Y.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-2
Selekhmeteva O.
Badosa P.[25]
6-46-4
R128
Siegemund L.
Samsonova L.[18]
0-67-56-4
Hon P.
Stakusic M.
1-66-45-3
Klimovicova L.
Jones F.
6-23-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Sun L.
6-37-5
Jovic I.[29]
Volynets K.
6-26-3
Jacquemot E.
Kostyuk M.[20]
6-747-647-67
Gracheva V.
Golubic V.
6-12-66-1
Gibson T.
Blinkova A.
6-16-3
Frech M.
Erjavec V.
6-16-1
Kudermetova P.
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
6-26-3
Bencic B.[10]
Boulter K.
6-07-5
Muchova K.[19]
Cristian J.
6-37-66
Badosa P.[25]
Diyas Z.
6-26-4
Danilovic O.
Williams V.
6-756-36-4
Pliskova K.
Stephens S.
7-676-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Vekic D.
4-66-36-0
Keys M.[9]
Oliynykova O.
7-666-1
Mcnally C.
Sakatsume H.
6-36-1
Noskova L.[13]
Semenistaja D.
6-36-0
Anisimova A.[4]
Waltert S.
6-36-2
Selekhmeteva O.
Seidel E.
6-33-66-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Yuan Y.
7-656-3
Parks A.
Eala A.
0-66-36-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Sramkova R.
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Juvan K.
6-46-3
Sonmez Z.
Alexandrova E.[11]
7-54-66-4
Mboko V.[17]
Jones E.
6-46-1
Potapova A.
Lamens S.
3-67-56-2
Inglis M.
Birrell K.
7-666-796-4
Bondar A.
Mandlik E.
6-06-4
Uchijima M.
Sierra S.
6-36-1
Valentova T.
Joint M.[30]
6-46-4
Tomljanovic A.
Starodubtseva Y.
4-67-636-1
Hunter S.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-4
Bouzkova M.
Zarazua R.
6-27-5
Gauff C.[3]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Kalinina A.
6-36-3
Putintseva Y.
Haddad Maia B.
3-67-56-3
Tjen J.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-27-61
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
6-46-1
Mertens E.[21]
Tararudee L.
7-56-1
Ruse E.
Yastremska D.[26]
6-47-5
Tauson C.[14]
Galfi D.
6-36-3
Li A.
Osorio C.
6-46-757-5
Bai Z.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-42-67-610
Sakkari M.
Jeanjean L.
6-46-2
Pegula J.[6]
Zakharova A.
6-26-1
Grabher J.
Cocciaretto E.
7-52-66-4
Baptiste H.
Townsend T.
6-36-736-3
Shnaider D.[23]
Krejcikova B.
2-66-36-3
Stearns P.
Kenin S.[27]
6-36-2
Kalinskaya A.[31]
Kartal S.
7-636-1
Preston T.
Zhang S.
6-32-66-3
Krueger A.
Bejlek S.
6-36-3
Marcinko P.
Maria T.
6-37-5
Svitolina E.[12]
Bucsa C.
6-46-1
Osaka N.[16]
Ruzic A.
6-33-66-4
Linette M.
Navarro E.[15]
3-66-36-3
Kessler M.
Arango E.
6-36-2
Siniakova K.
Udvardy P.
6-16-2
Raducanu E.[28]
Sawangkaew M.
6-46-1
Cirstea S.
Lys E.
3-66-46-3
Bartunkova N.
Kasatkina D.
7-670-66-3
Paolini J.[7]
Sasnovich A.
6-16-2