Iga Swiatek vs Maria SakkariIndian Wells Round of 32

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 32
#8WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#37WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWL
Swiatek I.
6-3 6-2
Sakkari M.
Swiatek I.
662
Sakkari M.
320

Iga Swiatek defeated Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #8, defending last year's semi-final. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

44
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaQFhardMaria Sakkari2-6 6-4 7-5
2025-02-09DohaR32hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2024-03-06Indian WellsFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-0
2022-03-07Indian WellsFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-1
2022-02-21DohaSFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-3
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-4
2021-09-20OstravaSFhardMaria Sakkari6-4 7-5
2021-05-31Roland GarrosQFclayMaria Sakkari6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Sakkari M.
67
Serve
24
98
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
81
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
77
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 24 days (−0.3)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 24 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
7.7+226 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1796
7.9Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1812
6.1
H2H
3.9
6.7
Surface form
6.3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.7
Country comfort
5.8
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
92

Swiatek I.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sakkari M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw