Maria Sakkari vs Iga SwiatekGuadalajara Finals Round Robin

Guadalajara Finals · WTA · Round Robin
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 10 November 2021
hard
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Sakkari M.
6-2 6-4
Swiatek I.
Sakkari M.
662
Swiatek I.
240

Maria Sakkari defeated Iga Swiatek 6-2 6-4 in the Guadalajara Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Maria Sakkari narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

35
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR32hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2026-02-08DohaQFhardMaria Sakkari2-6 6-4 7-5
2025-02-09DohaR32hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2024-03-06Indian WellsFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-0
2022-03-07Indian WellsFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-1
2022-02-21DohaSFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-3
2021-09-20OstravaSFhardMaria Sakkari6-4 7-5
2021-05-31Roland GarrosQFclayMaria Sakkari6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Swiatek I.
24
Serve
67
39
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
100
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Clear edge
87
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 23 days (−0.3)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1796
Surface ELO
7.7+226 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 2064
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.2
Surface form
6.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
89

Sakkari M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About