Iga Swiatek vs Maria SakkariIndian Wells Final

Indian Wells · WTA · Final
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Swiatek I.
6-4 6-0
Sakkari M.
Swiatek I.
662
Sakkari M.
400

Iga Swiatek defeated Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0 in the Indian Wells final on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, defending last year's semi-final. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

44
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR32hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2026-02-08DohaQFhardMaria Sakkari2-6 6-4 7-5
2025-02-09DohaR32hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2022-03-07Indian WellsFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-1
2022-02-21DohaSFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-3
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-4
2021-09-20OstravaSFhardMaria Sakkari6-4 7-5
2021-05-31Roland GarrosQFclayMaria Sakkari6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Sakkari M.
67
Serve
24
98
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
62%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 101). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
81
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+226 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1796
7.9Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1812
5.8
H2H
4.2
8.5
Surface form
4.5
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.4
Country comfort
5.6
Context
8.5
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
90

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-46-0