Maria Sakkari vs Iga SwiatekDoha Quarter-final

Doha · WTA · Quarter-final
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026
hard
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Sakkari M.
2-6 6-4 7-5
Swiatek I.
Sakkari M.
2672
Swiatek I.
6451

Maria Sakkari defeated Iga Swiatek 2-6 6-4 7-5 in the Doha quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending last year's semi-final. Maria Sakkari narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

35
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR32hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2025-02-09DohaR32hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2024-03-06Indian WellsFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-0
2022-03-07Indian WellsFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-1
2022-02-21DohaSFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-3
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-4
2021-09-20OstravaSFhardMaria Sakkari6-4 7-5
2021-05-31Roland GarrosQFclayMaria Sakkari6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Swiatek I.
24
Serve
67
39
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
100
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Clear edge
87
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1796
Surface ELO
7.7+226 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 2064
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.0
Surface form
6.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
7.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
91

Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw