Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek — Australian Open Quarter-final

Australian Open · WTA · Quarter-final
Elena Rybakina
KAZ5
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
Iga Swiatek
POL2
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Rybakina E.
7-5 6-1
Swiatek I.
Rybakina E.
762
Swiatek I.
510

Elena Rybakina defeated Iga Swiatek 7-5 6-1 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's round of 16. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 6–6.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

5–6
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina3-6 6-1 6-0
2025-08-07CincinnatiSFhardIga Swiatek7-5 6-3
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayIga Swiatek1-6 6-3 7-5
2025-02-09DohaQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 7-5
2024-12-27United CupSFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-4
2024-04-15StuttgartSFclayElena Rybakina6-3 4-6 6-3
2024-02-12DohaFhardIga Swiatek7-6(8) 6-2
2023-05-08RomeQFclayElena Rybakina2-6 7-6(3) 2-2 RET
2023-03-06Indian WellsSFhardElena Rybakina6-2 6-2
2023-01-16Australian OpenR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-4
2021-09-20OstravaQFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Swiatek I.
100
Serve
67
34
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Swiatek I.
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Swiatek I.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
100
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Swiatek I.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+88 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 2022
6.4Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 2064
2.7
H2H
7.3
8.5
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.6
Country comfort
6.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Swiatek I.
Freshness·Even
89
89

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[5]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Svitolina E.[12]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[5]
Pegula J.[6]
6-37-67
Quarter-finals
Svitolina E.[12]
Gauff C.[3]
6-16-2
Pegula J.[6]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-27-61
Rybakina E.[5]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-56-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Jovic I.[29]
6-36-0
R16
Gauff C.[3]
Muchova K.[19]
6-13-66-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Wang X.
7-646-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Inglis M.
6-06-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mboko V.[17]
6-17-61
Svitolina E.[12]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-26-4
Pegula J.[6]
Keys M.[9]
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Mertens E.[21]
6-16-3
Jovic I.[29]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-1
R32
Gauff C.[3]
Baptiste H.
3-66-06-3
Inglis M.
Osaka N.[16]
W/O
Sabalenka A.[1]
Potapova A.
7-647-67
Rybakina E.[5]
Valentova T.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Noskova L.[13]
7-56-4
Putintseva Y.
Sonmez Z.
6-36-736-3
Andreeva M.[8]
Ruse E.
6-36-4
Muchova K.[19]
Linette M.
6-16-1
Jovic I.[29]
Paolini J.[7]
6-27-63
Mboko V.[17]
Tauson C.[14]
7-655-76-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Stearns P.
6-16-4
Pegula J.[6]
Selekhmeteva O.
6-36-2
Mertens E.[21]
Bartunkova N.
6-06-4
Keys M.[9]
Pliskova K.
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Kalinskaya A.[31]
6-11-66-1
Svitolina E.[12]
Shnaider D.[23]
7-646-3
R64
Muchova K.[19]
Parks A.
4-66-46-4
Mboko V.[17]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[31]
Grabher J.
6-36-3
Linette M.
Li A.
6-36-3
Bartunkova N.
Bencic B.[10]
6-30-66-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Sakkari M.
6-06-4
Stearns P.
Marcinko P.
6-27-5
Tauson C.[14]
Kudermetova P.
6-33-67-5
Jovic I.[29]
Hon P.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[3]
Danilovic O.
6-26-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Bouzkova M.
6-26-3
Osaka N.[16]
Cirstea S.
6-34-66-2
Ruse E.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-4
Noskova L.[13]
Preston T.
6-24-66-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bai Z.
6-36-1
Pegula J.[6]
Kessler M.
6-06-2
Shnaider D.[23]
Gibson T.
3-67-56-3
Valentova T.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-52-66-3
Sonmez Z.
Bondar A.
6-26-4
Svitolina E.[12]
Klimovicova L.
7-56-1
Inglis M.
Siegemund L.
6-46-737-67
Mertens E.[21]
Uchijima M.
6-36-1
Anisimova A.[4]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Potapova A.
Raducanu E.[28]
7-636-2
Keys M.[9]
Krueger A.
6-17-5
Paolini J.[7]
Frech M.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Ostapenko J.[24]
4-66-46-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Gracheva V.
7-56-2
Pliskova K.
Tjen J.
6-46-4
Baptiste H.
Hunter S.
6-26-1
Putintseva Y.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-2
Selekhmeteva O.
Badosa P.[25]
6-46-4
R128
Siegemund L.
Samsonova L.[18]
0-67-56-4
Hon P.
Stakusic M.
1-66-45-3
Klimovicova L.
Jones F.
6-23-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Sun L.
6-37-5
Jovic I.[29]
Volynets K.
6-26-3
Jacquemot E.
Kostyuk M.[20]
6-747-647-67
Gracheva V.
Golubic V.
6-12-66-1
Gibson T.
Blinkova A.
6-16-3
Frech M.
Erjavec V.
6-16-1
Kudermetova P.
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
6-26-3
Bencic B.[10]
Boulter K.
6-07-5
Muchova K.[19]
Cristian J.
6-37-66
Badosa P.[25]
Diyas Z.
6-26-4
Danilovic O.
Williams V.
6-756-36-4
Pliskova K.
Stephens S.
7-676-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Vekic D.
4-66-36-0
Keys M.[9]
Oliynykova O.
7-666-1
Mcnally C.
Sakatsume H.
6-36-1
Noskova L.[13]
Semenistaja D.
6-36-0
Anisimova A.[4]
Waltert S.
6-36-2
Selekhmeteva O.
Seidel E.
6-33-66-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Yuan Y.
7-656-3
Parks A.
Eala A.
0-66-36-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Sramkova R.
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Juvan K.
6-46-3
Sonmez Z.
Alexandrova E.[11]
7-54-66-4
Mboko V.[17]
Jones E.
6-46-1
Potapova A.
Lamens S.
3-67-56-2
Inglis M.
Birrell K.
7-666-796-4
Bondar A.
Mandlik E.
6-06-4
Uchijima M.
Sierra S.
6-36-1
Valentova T.
Joint M.[30]
6-46-4
Tomljanovic A.
Starodubtseva Y.
4-67-636-1
Hunter S.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-4
Bouzkova M.
Zarazua R.
6-27-5
Gauff C.[3]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Kalinina A.
6-36-3
Putintseva Y.
Haddad Maia B.
3-67-56-3
Tjen J.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-27-61
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
6-46-1
Mertens E.[21]
Tararudee L.
7-56-1
Ruse E.
Yastremska D.[26]
6-47-5
Tauson C.[14]
Galfi D.
6-36-3
Li A.
Osorio C.
6-46-757-5
Bai Z.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-42-67-610
Sakkari M.
Jeanjean L.
6-46-2
Pegula J.[6]
Zakharova A.
6-26-1
Grabher J.
Cocciaretto E.
7-52-66-4
Baptiste H.
Townsend T.
6-36-736-3
Shnaider D.[23]
Krejcikova B.
2-66-36-3
Stearns P.
Kenin S.[27]
6-36-2
Kalinskaya A.[31]
Kartal S.
7-636-1
Preston T.
Zhang S.
6-32-66-3
Krueger A.
Bejlek S.
6-36-3
Marcinko P.
Maria T.
6-37-5
Svitolina E.[12]
Bucsa C.
6-46-1
Osaka N.[16]
Ruzic A.
6-33-66-4
Linette M.
Navarro E.[15]
3-66-36-3
Kessler M.
Arango E.
6-36-2
Siniakova K.
Udvardy P.
6-16-2
Raducanu E.[28]
Sawangkaew M.
6-46-1
Cirstea S.
Lys E.
3-66-46-3
Bartunkova N.
Kasatkina D.
7-670-66-3
Paolini J.[7]
Sasnovich A.
6-16-2