Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina — Roland Garros Round of 16

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 16
Iga Swiatek
POL3
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
Elena Rybakina
KAZ2
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Swiatek I.
1-6 6-3 7-5
Rybakina E.
Swiatek I.
1672
Rybakina E.
6351

Iga Swiatek defeated Elena Rybakina 1-6 6-3 7-5 in the Roland Garros round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–5, defending last year's quarter-final, but Iga Swiatek had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay. Iga Swiatek narrowed the head-to-head to 6–6.

Key context

Head to head

5–6
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-1
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina3-6 6-1 6-0
2025-08-07CincinnatiSFhardIga Swiatek7-5 6-3
2025-02-09DohaQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 7-5
2024-12-27United CupSFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-4
2024-04-15StuttgartSFclayElena Rybakina6-3 4-6 6-3
2024-02-12DohaFhardIga Swiatek7-6(8) 6-2
2023-05-08RomeQFclayElena Rybakina2-6 7-6(3) 2-2 RET
2023-03-06Indian WellsSFhardElena Rybakina6-2 6-2
2023-01-16Australian OpenR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-4
2021-09-20OstravaQFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Swiatek I.Rybakina E.
—
Serve
100
—
Return
9

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Swiatek I.Rybakina E.
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
7.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Swiatek I.Rybakina E.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
92
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Swiatek I.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Rybakina E.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6+6 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Clay Elo 2002
3.6Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 2122
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
8.2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.4
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.7
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Swiatek I.Rybakina E.
Freshness·Even
89
89

Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[4]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-756-26-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Swiatek I.[3]
7-614-66-0
Gauff C.[4]
Boisson L.
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Keys M.[19]
6-766-46-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Svitolina E.[7]
6-17-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[8]
7-636-3
Boisson L.
Andreeva M.[8]
7-666-3
R16
Andreeva M.[8]
Kasatkina D.[17]
6-37-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Samsonova L.[20]
7-651-66-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Rybakina E.[2]
1-66-37-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Anisimova A.[6]
7-56-3
Boisson L.
Pegula J.[5]
3-66-46-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Paolini J.[13]
4-67-666-1
Gauff C.[4]
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-07-5
Keys M.[19]
Baptiste H.[26]
6-37-5
R32
Keys M.[19]
Kenin S.[31]
4-66-37-5
Svitolina E.[7]
Pera B.
7-647-65
Gauff C.[4]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-17-63
Anisimova A.[6]
Tauson C.[21]
7-646-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Kudermetova V.
6-26-2
Baptiste H.[26]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-646-1
Samsonova L.[20]
Yastremska D.
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Danilovic O.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[17]
Badosa P.[10]
6-17-5
Boisson L.
Jacquemot E.
6-30-67-5
Paolini J.[13]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Ostapenko J.[29]
6-26-2
Pegula J.[5]
Vondrousova M.
3-66-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Putintseva Y.[32]
6-36-1
Zheng Q.[8]
Mboko V.[9]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Cristian J.
6-27-5
R64
Tauson C.[21]
Rus A.
7-627-5
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kartal S.
6-16-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Krueger A.
6-36-4
Badosa P.[10]
Ruse E.
3-66-46-4
Boisson L.
Kalinina A.
6-16-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Arango E.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[29]
Dolehide C.
5-76-36-3
Cristian J.
Bejlek S.
1-66-36-3
Kudermetova V.
Krejcikova B.[15]
6-06-3
Paolini J.[13]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-3
Jacquemot E.
Parks A.
6-26-746-1
Pera B.
Vekic D.[18]
6-24-67-63
Kasatkina D.[17]
Jeanjean L.
6-46-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Jovic I.[17]
6-36-3
Putintseva Y.[32]
Garland J.
7-656-3
Kenin S.[31]
Azarenka V.
7-656-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Montgomery R.
6-44-67-5
Vondrousova M.
Frech M.[25]
6-04-66-3
Danilovic O.
Collins D.
6-43-66-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Potapova A.[28]
7-646-2
Samsonova L.[20]
Romero Gormaz L.
6-36-3
Pegula J.[5]
Li A.[30]
6-37-63
Swiatek I.[3]
Raducanu E.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Teichmann J.
6-36-1
Mboko V.[9]
Lys E.
6-46-4
Baptiste H.[26]
Hibino N.
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-3
Yastremska D.
Shnaider D.[25]
7-57-5
Svitolina E.[7]
Bondar A.
7-647-5
Gauff C.[4]
Valentova T.
6-26-4
Keys M.[19]
Boulter K.
6-16-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Golubic V.
6-06-2
R128
Cristian J.
Birrell K.
6-16-0
Kartal S.
Andreeva E.
6-06-2
Frech M.[25]
Jabeur O.
7-646-0
Kudermetova V.
Tomova V.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.[15]
Maria T.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Navarro E.[9]
6-06-1
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
2-66-16-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Arango E.
Eala A.
6-02-66-3
Mboko V.[9]
Sun L.[5]
6-17-64
Yastremska D.
Aiava D.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Stojanovic N.
6-34-1
Golubic V.
Kvitova P.
3-66-06-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Riera J.
6-14-66-4
Paolini J.[13]
Yuan Y.[10]
6-14-66-3
Valentova T.
Paquet C.
4-66-37-5
Parks A.
Muchova K.[10]
6-32-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
7-636-2
Garland J.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-4
Montgomery R.
Parry D.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Saville D.
6-26-1
Ruse E.
Kessler M.
7-57-63
Potapova A.[28]
Noskova L.[12]
5-76-17-5
Cocciaretto E.
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Stearns P.[28]
6-06-3
Pegula J.[5]
Todoni A.
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Sherif M.
7-636-2
Krueger A.
Lamens S.[17]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Sramkova R.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Gadecki O.
6-26-2
Boulter K.
Monnet C.
6-746-16-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Kudermetova P.[16]
5-76-06-2
Azarenka V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.
Burrage J.
7-616-4
Tomljanovic A.
Joint M.
6-16-3
Kalinina A.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Kasatkina D.[17]
Siniakova K.
6-13-66-2
Hibino N.
Uchijima M.
6-17-5
Kenin S.[31]
Gracheva V.
6-36-1
Badosa P.[10]
Osaka N.[16]
6-716-16-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Minnen G.
3-66-36-4
Raducanu E.
Wang X.
7-54-66-3
Tauson C.[21]
Linette M.
6-44-66-1
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-37-64
Jeanjean L.
Begu I.
0-67-53-0
Putintseva Y.[32]
Sierra S.
7-646-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Blinkova A.
7-56-746-1
Rus A.
Osorio C.
4-66-26-4
Teichmann J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-4
Bondar A.
Siegemund L.
7-626-3
Baptiste H.[26]
Haddad Maia B.[23]
4-66-36-1
Li A.[30]
Carle M.
6-46-0
Shnaider D.[25]
Soboleva A.
7-636-2
Jovic I.[17]
Zarazua R.
6-35-76-4
Boisson L.
Mertens E.[23]
6-44-66-3
Alexandrova E.[14]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-3
Bejlek S.
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Sonmez Z.
6-16-1
Danilovic O.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-36-1