Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina — Doha Final

Doha · WTA · Final
Iga Swiatek
POL1
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
hard
Elena Rybakina
KAZ3
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Swiatek I.
7-6 6-2
Rybakina E.
Swiatek I.
71062
Rybakina E.
6820

Iga Swiatek defeated Elena Rybakina 7-6 6-2 in the Doha final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–5. Iga Swiatek narrowed the head-to-head to 6–6.

Key context

  • Match story: Iga Swiatek closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

5–6
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-1
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina3-6 6-1 6-0
2025-08-07CincinnatiSFhardIga Swiatek7-5 6-3
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayIga Swiatek1-6 6-3 7-5
2025-02-09DohaQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 7-5
2024-12-27United CupSFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-4
2024-04-15StuttgartSFclayElena Rybakina6-3 4-6 6-3
2023-05-08RomeQFclayElena Rybakina2-6 7-6(3) 2-2 RET
2023-03-06Indian WellsSFhardElena Rybakina6-2 6-2
2023-01-16Australian OpenR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-4
2021-09-20OstravaQFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Rybakina E.
67
Serve
100
98
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Swiatek I.Rybakina E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
6.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 154). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Swiatek I.Rybakina E.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
92
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Swiatek I.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Rybakina E.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 2022
Surface ELO
6.4+88 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 2122
2.8
H2H
7.2
8.8
Surface form
8.3
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.2
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Swiatek I.Rybakina E.
Freshness·Even
89
89

Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Rybakina E.[3]
7-686-2
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[3]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Pliskova K.
W/O
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[3]
Fernandez L.
6-46-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Collins D.
7-56-4
Pliskova K.
Osaka N.
7-667-65
Swiatek I.[1]
Azarenka V.
6-46-0
R16
Osaka N.
Tsurenko L.
W/O
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Vondrousova M.[6]
7-56-3
Collins D.
Siniakova K.
6-46-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-16-4
Pliskova K.
Noskova L.
3-67-56-1
Azarenka V.
Ostapenko J.[8]
6-06-3
Fernandez L.
Zheng Q.[5]
7-56-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Navarro E.[16]
6-16-766-4
R32
Tsurenko L.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-36-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Kostyuk M.
2-1
Ostapenko J.[8]
Kalinina A.
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Martic P.
6-37-69
Pliskova K.
Potapova A.
6-15-76-4
Fernandez L.
Badosa P.
0-66-26-3
Collins D.
Bouzkova M.
6-47-5
Alexandrova E.[14]
Andreeva E.
6-03-66-1
Zheng Q.[5]
Linette M.
6-22-66-3
Vondrousova M.[6]
Minnen G.
6-20-66-4
Rybakina E.[3]
Zhu L.
6-26-1
Siniakova K.
Gauff C.[2]
6-26-4
Navarro E.[16]
Mertens E.
6-16-3
Noskova L.
Sakkari M.[7]
3-67-627-5
Azarenka V.
Wang X.
7-626-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Cirstea S.
6-16-1
R64
Badosa P.
Krueger A.
6-34-66-4
Fernandez L.
Samsonova L.[12]
7-57-64
Siniakova K.
Vekic D.
7-56-1
Kostyuk M.
Dolehide C.
6-37-5
Noskova L.
Pera B.
6-37-68
Potapova A.
Trevisan M.
6-46-4
Bouzkova M.
Kenin S.
7-52-67-5
Azarenka V.
Frech M.
6-33-66-3
Andreeva E.
Shnaider D.
7-626-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Tomova V.
7-656-3
Tsurenko L.
Sonmez Z.
7-56-3
Navarro E.[16]
Paolini J.
6-37-5
Mertens E.
Stearns P.
6-26-3
Zhu L.
Gracheva V.
6-16-1
Minnen G.
Maria T.
6-16-1
Pliskova K.
Kalinskaya A.
2-67-636-4
Cirstea S.
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Kasatkina D.[11]
6-27-62
Wang X.
Haddad Maia B.[10]
6-16-3
Kalinina A.
Raducanu E.
6-07-66
Martic P.
Rus A.
7-53-67-65
Osaka N.
Garcia C.[15]
7-56-4
Linette M.
Hibino N.
6-16-4
Collins D.
Kudermetova V.[13]
7-56-3