Elena Rybakina vs Iga SwiatekStuttgart Semi-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Semi-final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 April 2024
clay
#3WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Rybakina E.
6-3 4-6 6-3
Swiatek I.
Rybakina E.
6462
Swiatek I.
3631

Elena Rybakina defeated Iga Swiatek 6-3 4-6 6-3 in the Stuttgart semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in leading the head-to-head 6–5, defending the title, but Elena Rybakina had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 6–6.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

56
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-1
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina3-6 6-1 6-0
2025-08-07CincinnatiSFhardIga Swiatek7-5 6-3
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayIga Swiatek1-6 6-3 7-5
2025-02-09DohaQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 7-5
2024-12-27United CupSFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-4
2024-02-12DohaFhardIga Swiatek7-6(8) 6-2
2023-05-08RomeQFclayElena Rybakina2-6 7-6(3) 2-2 RET
2023-03-06Indian WellsSFhardElena Rybakina6-2 6-2
2023-01-16Australian OpenR16hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-4
2021-09-20OstravaQFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rybakina E.Swiatek I.
100
Serve
9
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
100
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4Clay Elo 2002
Surface ELO
4.6+6 Clay Elo edge
6.4Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 2064
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.2
Surface form
10.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
91

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 87%