Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek — Australian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 16
Elena Rybakina
KAZ22
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
Iga Swiatek
POL1
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Rybakina E.
6-4 6-4
Swiatek I.
Rybakina E.
662
Swiatek I.
440

Elena Rybakina defeated Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's round of 64. Elena Rybakina narrowed the head-to-head to 6–6.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

5–6
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardElena Rybakina7-5 6-1
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardElena Rybakina3-6 6-1 6-0
2025-08-07CincinnatiSFhardIga Swiatek7-5 6-3
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayIga Swiatek1-6 6-3 7-5
2025-02-09DohaQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 7-5
2024-12-27United CupSFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-4
2024-04-15StuttgartSFclayElena Rybakina6-3 4-6 6-3
2024-02-12DohaFhardIga Swiatek7-6(8) 6-2
2023-05-08RomeQFclayElena Rybakina2-6 7-6(3) 2-2 RET
2023-03-06Indian WellsSFhardElena Rybakina6-2 6-2
2021-09-20OstravaQFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Swiatek I.
100
Serve
67
34
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Swiatek I.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Swiatek I.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
100
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Swiatek I.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+88 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 2022
6.4Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 2064
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
7.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
6.3
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Swiatek I.
Freshness·Even
89
89

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[5]
Rybakina E.[22]
4-66-36-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[5]
Linette M.
7-616-2
Rybakina E.[22]
Azarenka V.[24]
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[22]
Ostapenko J.[17]
6-26-4
Linette M.
Pliskova K.[30]
6-37-5
Sabalenka A.[5]
Vekic D.
6-36-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Pegula J.[3]
6-46-1
R16
Linette M.
Garcia C.[4]
7-636-4
Sabalenka A.[5]
Bencic B.[12]
7-56-2
Rybakina E.[22]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-4
Ostapenko J.[17]
Gauff C.[7]
7-56-3
Azarenka V.[24]
Zhu L.
4-66-16-4
Vekic D.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-21-66-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Zhang S.[23]
6-06-4
Pegula J.[3]
Krejcikova B.[20]
7-56-2
R32
Rybakina E.[22]
Collins D.[13]
6-25-76-2
Pegula J.[3]
Kostyuk M.
6-06-2
Krejcikova B.[20]
Kalinina A.
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[24]
Keys M.[10]
1-66-26-1
Zhu L.
Sakkari M.[6]
7-631-66-4
Pliskova K.[30]
Gracheva V.
6-46-2
Linette M.
Alexandrova E.[19]
6-36-4
Bencic B.[12]
Giorgi C.
6-27-5
Sabalenka A.[5]
Mertens E.[26]
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Bucsa C.
6-06-1
Garcia C.[4]
Siegemund L.
1-66-36-3
Fruhvirtova L.
Vondrousova M.
7-52-66-3
Vekic D.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-26-2
Gauff C.[7]
Pera B.
6-36-2
Zhang S.[23]
Volynets K.
6-36-2
Ostapenko J.[17]
Baindl K.
6-36-0
R64
Baindl K.
Mcnally C.
6-17-64
Gauff C.[7]
Raducanu E.
6-37-64
Pegula J.[3]
Sasnovich A.
6-27-65
Keys M.[10]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Sabalenka A.[5]
Rogers S.
6-36-1
Krejcikova B.[20]
Burel C.
6-46-1
Vekic D.
Samsonova L.[18]
6-36-0
Kostyuk M.
Gadecki O.
6-26-1
Linette M.
Kontaveit A.[16]
3-66-36-4
Bucsa C.
Andreescu B.
2-67-676-4
Collins D.[13]
Muchova K.
6-716-27-66
Ostapenko J.[17]
Bondar A.
7-655-76-0
Pera B.
Zheng Q.[29]
6-46-4
Zhu L.
Teichmann J.[32]
6-26-2
Sakkari M.[6]
Shnaider D.
3-67-56-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Putintseva Y.
6-07-5
Zhang S.[23]
Martic P.
6-36-3
Alexandrova E.[19]
Townsend T.
1-66-26-3
Siegemund L.
Begu I.[27]
5-77-56-3
Garcia C.[4]
Fernandez L.
7-657-5
Giorgi C.
Schmiedlova A.
6-46-3
Bencic B.[12]
Liu C.
7-636-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Potapova A.
6-36-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Vondrousova M.
Jabeur O.[2]
6-15-76-1
Volynets K.
Kudermetova V.[9]
6-42-66-2
Gracheva V.
Stefanini L.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Osorio C.
6-26-3
Mertens E.[26]
Davis L.
6-46-3
Kalinina A.
Kvitova P.[15]
7-56-4
Rybakina E.[22]
Juvan K.
6-26-1
R128
Osorio C.
Udvardy P.
6-46-1
Andreescu B.
Bouzkova M.[25]
6-26-4
Krejcikova B.[20]
Bejlek S.
6-36-1
Burel C.
Gibson T.
6-36-4
Keys M.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-43-66-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Kenin S.
6-47-63
Shnaider D.
Kucova K.
7-667-5
Kudermetova V.[9]
Zanevska M.
6-27-64
Townsend T.
Parry D.
6-16-1
Alexandrova E.[19]
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-1
Garcia C.[4]
Sebov K.
6-36-0
Rogers S.
Hartono A.
6-46-3
Davis L.
Kovinic D.
1-67-56-1
Mertens E.[26]
Muguruza G.
3-67-636-1
Schmiedlova A.
Trevisan M.[21]
6-36-2
Giorgi C.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Haddad Maia B.[14]
7-6116-2
Kontaveit A.[16]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Van Uytvanck A.
7-636-2
Gadecki O.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Ostapenko J.[17]
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.
Anisimova A.[28]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[7]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Birrell K.
Kanepi K.[31]
3-67-646-1
Samsonova L.[18]
Paolini J.
6-26-4
Begu I.[27]
Mandlik E.
3-67-616-2
Sabalenka A.[5]
Martincova T.
6-16-4
Baindl K.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-786-1
Bencic B.[12]
Tomova V.
6-16-2
Potapova A.
Stephens S.
7-626-4
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-16-1
Mcnally C.
Pigossi L.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[29]
Galfi D.
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Korpatsch T.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Cristian J.
6-06-1
Podoroska N.
Jeanjean L.
6-06-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Zhang S.[23]
Tig P.
6-14-66-0
Martic P.
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Brengle M.
6-36-4
Vekic D.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-22-67-67
Fruhvirtova L.
Fourlis J.
6-06-4
Vondrousova M.
Riske Amritraj A.
5-76-16-4
Jabeur O.[2]
Zidansek T.
7-684-66-1
Linette M.
Sherif M.
7-56-1
Siegemund L.
Bronzetti L.
2-66-46-3
Wang X.
Hunter S.
7-626-4
Bondar A.
Bogdan A.
6-22-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-2
Pera B.
Uchijima M.
2-66-36-1
Muchova K.
Tsurenko L.
6-26-1
Fernandez L.
Cornet A.
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Niemeier J.
6-47-5
Rybakina E.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
7-56-3
Juvan K.
Janicijevic S.
7-56-1
Collins D.[13]
Kalinskaya A.
7-55-76-4
Zhu L.
Marino R.
6-26-4
Putintseva Y.
Cirstea S.
2-66-46-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Wang X.
6-16-3
Volynets K.
Rodina E.
6-36-2
Bucsa C.
Lys E.
2-66-06-2
Kalinina A.
Vandeweghe C.
6-36-1
Teichmann J.[32]
Dart H.
7-56-1
Stefanini L.
Maria T.
3-67-56-4