Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mccartney KesslerWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#46WTA
1773ELO
1520Grass ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 5 · 3rd on
#58WTA
1808ELO
1693Grass ELO
$742kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLL
Oliynykova O.
0-6 0-6
Kessler M.
Oliynykova O.
000
Kessler M.
662

Mccartney Kessler defeated Oleksandra Oliynykova in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-0, 6-0. Kessler did not hit an ace but did not commit a double fault, and won 89% of her first-serve points. She converted 50% of her break points and broke Oliynykova's serve six times, while Oliynykova hit one ace, committed two double faults, won 37% of her first-serve points, and did not convert any break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
75%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
51
Break points saved·Dominant
75
30
Break points won·Slight edge
99
89
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
85
Tiebreaks·
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Oliynykova O.35%
Kessler M.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kessler M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Grass Elo 1564
Surface ELO
6.2+100 Grass Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1784
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
95

Oliynykova O.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 30 games (7d) · Kessler M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw