Madison Keys vs Oleksandra Oliynykova — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 128
Madison Keys
USA9
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
Oleksandra Oliynykova
UKR
Oleksandra Oliynykova
#53WTA
1773ELO
1572Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
Keys M.
7-6 6-1
Oliynykova O.
Keys M.
7862
Oliynykova O.
6610

Madison Keys defeated Oleksandra Oliynykova 7-6 6-1 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, defending the title.

Key context

  • Match story: Madison Keys came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Oliynykova O.

Oliynykova O.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Oliynykova O.
36
Serve
—
29
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Keys M.Oliynykova O.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
0.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Keys M.Oliynykova O.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
75
Break points won·Slight edge
90
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
80
Tiebreaks·
96
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Keys M.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Oliynykova O.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
9.4+348 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Hard Elo 1572
7.8Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1773
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
6.6
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Keys M.Oliynykova O.
Freshness·Slight edge
77
86

Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Oliynykova O.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[5]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Svitolina E.[12]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[5]
Pegula J.[6]
6-37-67
Quarter-finals
Svitolina E.[12]
Gauff C.[3]
6-16-2
Pegula J.[6]
Anisimova A.[4]
6-27-61
Rybakina E.[5]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-56-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Jovic I.[29]
6-36-0
R16
Gauff C.[3]
Muchova K.[19]
6-13-66-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Wang X.
7-646-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Inglis M.
6-06-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mboko V.[17]
6-17-61
Svitolina E.[12]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-26-4
Pegula J.[6]
Keys M.[9]
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Mertens E.[21]
6-16-3
Jovic I.[29]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-1
R32
Gauff C.[3]
Baptiste H.
3-66-06-3
Inglis M.
Osaka N.[16]
W/O
Sabalenka A.[1]
Potapova A.
7-647-67
Rybakina E.[5]
Valentova T.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Noskova L.[13]
7-56-4
Putintseva Y.
Sonmez Z.
6-36-736-3
Andreeva M.[8]
Ruse E.
6-36-4
Muchova K.[19]
Linette M.
6-16-1
Jovic I.[29]
Paolini J.[7]
6-27-63
Mboko V.[17]
Tauson C.[14]
7-655-76-3
Anisimova A.[4]
Stearns P.
6-16-4
Pegula J.[6]
Selekhmeteva O.
6-36-2
Mertens E.[21]
Bartunkova N.
6-06-4
Keys M.[9]
Pliskova K.
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Kalinskaya A.[31]
6-11-66-1
Svitolina E.[12]
Shnaider D.[23]
7-646-3
R64
Muchova K.[19]
Parks A.
4-66-46-4
Mboko V.[17]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[31]
Grabher J.
6-36-3
Linette M.
Li A.
6-36-3
Bartunkova N.
Bencic B.[10]
6-30-66-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Sakkari M.
6-06-4
Stearns P.
Marcinko P.
6-27-5
Tauson C.[14]
Kudermetova P.
6-33-67-5
Jovic I.[29]
Hon P.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[3]
Danilovic O.
6-26-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Bouzkova M.
6-26-3
Osaka N.[16]
Cirstea S.
6-34-66-2
Ruse E.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-4
Noskova L.[13]
Preston T.
6-24-66-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bai Z.
6-36-1
Pegula J.[6]
Kessler M.
6-06-2
Shnaider D.[23]
Gibson T.
3-67-56-3
Valentova T.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-52-66-3
Sonmez Z.
Bondar A.
6-26-4
Svitolina E.[12]
Klimovicova L.
7-56-1
Inglis M.
Siegemund L.
6-46-737-67
Mertens E.[21]
Uchijima M.
6-36-1
Anisimova A.[4]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Potapova A.
Raducanu E.[28]
7-636-2
Keys M.[9]
Krueger A.
6-17-5
Paolini J.[7]
Frech M.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Ostapenko J.[24]
4-66-46-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Gracheva V.
7-56-2
Pliskova K.
Tjen J.
6-46-4
Baptiste H.
Hunter S.
6-26-1
Putintseva Y.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-2
Selekhmeteva O.
Badosa P.[25]
6-46-4
R128
Siegemund L.
Samsonova L.[18]
0-67-56-4
Hon P.
Stakusic M.
1-66-45-3
Klimovicova L.
Jones F.
6-23-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Sun L.
6-37-5
Jovic I.[29]
Volynets K.
6-26-3
Jacquemot E.
Kostyuk M.[20]
6-747-647-67
Gracheva V.
Golubic V.
6-12-66-1
Gibson T.
Blinkova A.
6-16-3
Frech M.
Erjavec V.
6-16-1
Kudermetova P.
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
6-26-3
Bencic B.[10]
Boulter K.
6-07-5
Muchova K.[19]
Cristian J.
6-37-66
Badosa P.[25]
Diyas Z.
6-26-4
Danilovic O.
Williams V.
6-756-36-4
Pliskova K.
Stephens S.
7-676-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Vekic D.
4-66-36-0
Keys M.[9]
Oliynykova O.
7-666-1
Mcnally C.
Sakatsume H.
6-36-1
Noskova L.[13]
Semenistaja D.
6-36-0
Anisimova A.[4]
Waltert S.
6-36-2
Selekhmeteva O.
Seidel E.
6-33-66-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Yuan Y.
7-656-3
Parks A.
Eala A.
0-66-36-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Sramkova R.
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Juvan K.
6-46-3
Sonmez Z.
Alexandrova E.[11]
7-54-66-4
Mboko V.[17]
Jones E.
6-46-1
Potapova A.
Lamens S.
3-67-56-2
Inglis M.
Birrell K.
7-666-796-4
Bondar A.
Mandlik E.
6-06-4
Uchijima M.
Sierra S.
6-36-1
Valentova T.
Joint M.[30]
6-46-4
Tomljanovic A.
Starodubtseva Y.
4-67-636-1
Hunter S.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-4
Bouzkova M.
Zarazua R.
6-27-5
Gauff C.[3]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3
Wang X.
Kalinina A.
6-36-3
Putintseva Y.
Haddad Maia B.
3-67-56-3
Tjen J.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-27-61
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
6-46-1
Mertens E.[21]
Tararudee L.
7-56-1
Ruse E.
Yastremska D.[26]
6-47-5
Tauson C.[14]
Galfi D.
6-36-3
Li A.
Osorio C.
6-46-757-5
Bai Z.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-42-67-610
Sakkari M.
Jeanjean L.
6-46-2
Pegula J.[6]
Zakharova A.
6-26-1
Grabher J.
Cocciaretto E.
7-52-66-4
Baptiste H.
Townsend T.
6-36-736-3
Shnaider D.[23]
Krejcikova B.
2-66-36-3
Stearns P.
Kenin S.[27]
6-36-2
Kalinskaya A.[31]
Kartal S.
7-636-1
Preston T.
Zhang S.
6-32-66-3
Krueger A.
Bejlek S.
6-36-3
Marcinko P.
Maria T.
6-37-5
Svitolina E.[12]
Bucsa C.
6-46-1
Osaka N.[16]
Ruzic A.
6-33-66-4
Linette M.
Navarro E.[15]
3-66-36-3
Kessler M.
Arango E.
6-36-2
Siniakova K.
Udvardy P.
6-16-2
Raducanu E.[28]
Sawangkaew M.
6-46-1
Cirstea S.
Lys E.
3-66-46-3
Bartunkova N.
Kasatkina D.
7-670-66-3
Paolini J.[7]
Sasnovich A.
6-16-2