Mccartney Kessler vs Anhelina KalininaEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16
#62WTA
1800ELO
1694Grass ELO
$545kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#70WTA
1838ELO
1653Grass ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWWWWW
Kessler M.
vs
Kalinina A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC
Kessler M.49%
Kalinina A.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+42 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1652
4.3Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1838
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kessler M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Kalinina A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kessler M.

Serve advantage — Kalinina A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
83
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
82
Break points won·Even
95
97
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
57
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
90

Kessler M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Kalinina A.: 7 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.