Madison Keys vs Mccartney KesslerBrisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 32
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#57WTA
1808ELO
1785Hard ELO
$545kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
Keys M.
6-4 6-3
Kessler M.
Keys M.
662
Kessler M.
430

Madison Keys defeated Mccartney Kessler 6-4 6-3 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Madison Keys closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-25EastbourneQFgrassMadison Keys3-6 1-6

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kessler M.

Kessler M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Kessler M.
36
Serve
27
29
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
84
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
91
Break points won·Slight edge
90
95
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
59

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 76 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.3+136 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1785
6.5Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1808
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
96

Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Kessler M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw