Elina Svitolina vs Daria Snigur — Wimbledon Round of 128
Svitolina E.Elina Svitolina faces Daria Snigur in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — ranked #8, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 200-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Svitolina E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Elina Svitolina has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 90 vs 55).
- Surface form: Elina Svitolina 3 of 4, Daria Snigur 2 of 4 on grass recently — Elina Svitolina the sharper of late.
- Stage: Elina Svitolina defends last year's round of 32.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSvitolina E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Snigur D.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.