Marina Bassols Ribera vs Robin MontgomeryWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
#143WTA
1557ELO
1463Grass ELO
26 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#194WTA
1747ELO
1736Grass ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLL
Bassols Ribera M.
6-3 1-6 1-6
Montgomery R.
Bassols Ribera M.
6111
Montgomery R.
3662

Robin Montgomery fought back from a set down to beat Marina Bassols Ribera 3-6 6-1 6-1 in the Wimbledon qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 2: A 15-point game with five deuces went Robin Montgomery's way.
  • Set 3, game 1: Robin Montgomery broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Marina Bassols Ribera converted 2 of 15 break points; Robin Montgomery converted 6 of 14 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Bassols Ribera M.
Montgomery R.
Break points won
2/15
6/14
Break points saved
8/14
13/15

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bassols Ribera M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Montgomery R.

Montgomery R.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Bassols Ribera M.

Serve advantage — Bassols Ribera M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Service points won·Even
55%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
6.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
30
54
Break points saved·Dominant
27
81
Break points won·Dominant
89
44
Deciding sets·Even
63
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
14
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Bassols Ribera M.10%
Montgomery R.90%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Montgomery R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.6Grass Elo 1463
Surface ELO
8.4+274 Grass Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1557
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1747
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.46 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
9.49 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
65
74

Bassols Ribera M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Montgomery R.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw — qualifying

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final